Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,639.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

16-wallet linked Nationals cluster

A 16-wallet Nationals cluster backed by a shared funder and several highly profitable bettors produced a strong directional signal, though the market is already resolved at 100%.

  • Sixteen wallets funded through two linked sources bought $69,191 of Washington, creating unusually coordinated conviction.
  • Several participants have strong records, including one bettor with 95% wins across 63 resolved bets and another with 84% across 222.
  • Nationals have already reached 100%, so this is valuable as a signal to study but no longer actionable at the observed prices.

$69,191 on Washington Nationals

Proven bettor ahead of volume surge

A profitable serial sports trader with a meaningful track record bought Philadelphia at 59%, while a 630x volume spike and subsequent move to 74% corroborate the position.

  • This bettor wins 69% of 409 resolved trades and is up $428,793 lifetime.
  • They bought Philadelphia at 59%, and the market has since risen to 74%.
  • The market saw a 630x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong interest around the game.

$5,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 69%

Elite bettor backs Washington

A highly profitable bettor with 83% wins across 369 resolved positions bought Washington at 53¢ amid a major volume surge and recent price rise.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 369 resolved positions and earned $4.36 million in reported profit.
  • They bought $5,000 of Washington at 53¢, adding fresh conviction near the market’s current price.
  • Trading activity was 420 times the historical average, while Washington’s price rose 11% over the past day.

$5,000 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 84%

94% win-rate serial sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and 7,406 resolved positions made a meaningful $1,113 Phillies bet despite the market now pricing them lower.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 7,406 resolved positions and is up $1.46 million.
  • The $1,113 Phillies entry at 59¢ represents fresh, meaningful conviction in a liquid MLB market.
  • The market has since moved to about 55%, offering a potentially better entry than this proven bettor received.

$1,113 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite bettor joins Phillies cluster

Three wallets concentrated $7,530 on Philadelphia, including a bettor with a 94% win rate and a 1,440x volume spike supporting the move from roughly 54-59% to 62%.

  • One bettor wins 94% of 7,406 resolved positions and is up $1.46 million.
  • Three wallets put $7,530 behind Philadelphia, while market volume reached 1,440x its historical average.
  • The cluster entered around 54-60%, and Philadelphia has since risen to 62%.

$9,885 on Philadelphia Phillies

98% win-rate bettor adds to Phillies

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $9,450 to an existing Phillies position at 63¢.

  • This bettor has won 50 of 51 resolved positions and is up $344,132 lifetime.
  • The $9,450 purchase adds to an existing $16,000 Phillies position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
  • At 63¢, the Phillies are priced near the market’s 62% odds in a relatively thin market with only $1,077 in 24-hour volume.

$9,450 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2805...76ed Outcome 74651998, $33,438 (44% win rate)
  2. 0xe55a...ecf7 Outcome 74651998, $16,000 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 74651998, $13,000 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 74651998, $11,785 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 74651998, $9,845 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xaa77...15a5 Outcome 74651998, $8,475 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 74651998, $4,695 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 74651998, $4,316 (63% win rate)
  9. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 74651998, $3,500 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x8707...8b15 Outcome 74651998, $3,077 (95% win rate)

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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3dWashington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$99,639 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
10
56-60
Final
PHI
4
61-54
WSH +175PHI -187O/U 9.5
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Attendance
37,025
Price History — “Washington Nationals
102¢
68¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

2d ago

$69,191 on Washington Nationals at 89¢

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3d ago

$5,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 59¢

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3d ago

$5,000 on Washington Nationals at 53¢

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3d ago

$1,113 on Philadelphia Phillies at 59¢

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3d ago

$9,885 on Philadelphia Phillies at 56¢

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3d ago

$9,450 on Philadelphia Phillies at 63¢

Related Theses