Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 5, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $803,754.

Notable Trades

94% win-rate bettor

A bettor with a 94% win rate and strong realized edge put a fresh $4.3k buy into No at 54¢, making this a credible sharp single-wallet signal despite routine market liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $116k on $344k invested
  • They bought No at 54¢, a meaningful fresh position from a wallet that has beaten implied odds by a wide margin
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random thin-market punt

$4,299 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

92% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 92% win rate and strong realized edge is opening a fresh Yes position, making this wallet worth following despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $183.7k overall.
  • They beat the odds by a wide margin, with a strong edge across 74 settled positions.
  • Bought Yes at 47¢, slightly above the current market, showing fresh conviction rather than profit-taking.

$2,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new live-betting whale

A highly active new wallet with nearly $1.0M in profits put $87.7k into No just 2.3 minutes before this live soccer market resolved during a massive volume spike.

  • This new wallet has already been flagged 79 times, is up about $963k, and just placed an $87.7k concentrated bet.
  • All 6 buys hit No at 55¢ only 2.3 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter in live sports.
  • Market volume exploded to 212x normal activity, which supports the idea that informed money was moving late.

$87,699 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Late sharp cluster on No

Three wallets piled $258k into No just minutes before this live soccer market resolved, led by a highly profitable wallet up nearly $963k, making this a strong high-conviction late signal.

  • Three wallets put $258k on No within minutes of resolution, including one wallet up $962k lifetime.
  • Most of the size came from one bettor buying No at 54-55¢, a clear high-conviction position near the finish.
  • Market activity exploded to 444x normal volume, which supports the idea that informed money showed up late.

$258,217 on No

Serial timer with 88% win rate

A proven high-win live sports bettor with strong profits bought Yes 1.8 minutes before resolution amid an extreme volume spike and coordinated same-side flow from 8 wallets.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $146k on $535k invested.
  • The buy came just 1.8 minutes before resolution, and this wallet has 30 near-finish bets across 18 markets.
  • Eight wallets piled into the same side for $46.9k total as market volume spiked 444x versus normal.

$10,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial timer cluster

A highly profitable serial timer with over $500k in profit bought Yes 25 seconds before resolution alongside a coordinated 8-wallet same-side surge.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 1,016 resolved trades and is up $501k lifetime.
  • The buy came 25 seconds before resolution, and this wallet has 11 late bets across 6 markets.
  • Eight wallets piled into Yes for $46.9k total, alongside a 444x volume spike on the market.

$7,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

8-wallet live sports cluster

A coordinated group of 8 wallets, including a repeat new wallet, piled into Union Berlin Yes about a minute before resolution amid a huge volume spike, making this a strong live-sports signal despite the single wallet lacking its own track record.

  • 8 wallets all bought the same side for $46.9k, and 2 of them share a funder.
  • This wallet is new but has already been flagged 4 times for large bets, with $4.8k in similar activity.
  • The buy came 1.1 minutes before resolution during a 444x volume spike, pointing to strong late-game conviction.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%

Profitable new live-sports whale

A highly profitable new wallet repeatedly deployed $243k on No just 2.3 minutes before a live soccer market resolved, alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet is already up about $963k and has repeated this large-bet pattern 73 times.
  • It piled roughly $243k into No at 55¢ just 2.3 minutes before resolution, showing strong late conviction.
  • Market volume exploded 722x above normal, suggesting this bettor was part of a sharp last-minute move.

$242,872 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

80% winner backing No

Profitable bettor with an 80% win rate made a sizable late pre-match buy on No as volume exploded in an already active market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $18.7k across 10 settled markets.
  • They put $13.6k on No at 54¢ just before kickoff, and the market has already moved to 56¢.
  • Trading volume spiked more than 700x versus normal, showing unusually strong attention around this match.

$13,639 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp 3-wallet NO cluster

A small cluster put nearly $94k on No minutes before kickoff/resolution in a huge volume spike, led by wallets with unusually strong early track records.

  • Three wallets piled nearly $94k into No, including one wallet that alone fired about $86k in minutes.
  • Two wallets show elite early records, including one bettor at 94% wins over 17 resolved markets and another up $962k.
  • The market saw a 193x volume spike, and these buys came around 54-55¢ right before resolution.

$93,704 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x2e35...1fe1 No, $537,026 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xea2b...1fc6 Yes, $152,000 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x507e...beae Yes, $115,439 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xfd29...77ae Yes, $74,339 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 Yes, $61,886 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x4408...1b6a No, $42,500
  7. 0x7ea5...de7b Yes, $41,377 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x6185...2965 No, $36,038 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x4133...5e70 Yes, $29,111 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x37c1...c53a Yes, $26,667 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

Resolved$803,754 tracked23 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga
Yes
28¢
No
73¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 5, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$4,299 on No at 54¢

54¢73¢19¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$2,094 on Yes at 47¢

47¢28¢19¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$87,699 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$258,217 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$10,699 on Yes at 45¢

45¢28¢17¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$7,650 on Yes at 45¢

45¢28¢17¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$1,200 on Yes at 45¢

45¢28¢17¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$242,872 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$13,639 on No at 54¢

54¢73¢19¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$93,704 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$3,707 on Yes at 47¢

47¢28¢19¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$2,151 on Yes at 46¢

46¢28¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$1,200 on Yes at 48¢

48¢28¢20¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$1,341 on No at 53¢

53¢73¢20¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$10,000 on Yes at 47¢

47¢28¢19¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

2h ago

$26,369 on Yes at 45¢

45¢28¢17¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

3h ago

$2,796 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

3h ago

$6,270 on No at 55¢

55¢73¢18¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

3h ago

$7,268 on Yes at 44¢

44¢28¢16¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

3h ago

$2,560 on No at 58¢

58¢73¢15¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

3h ago

$5,320 on No at 58¢

58¢73¢15¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

4h ago

$1,905 on No at 57¢

57¢73¢16¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?

4h ago

$10,795 on No at 57¢

57¢73¢16¢

Related Theses

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05? | PolySpotter