Nine wallets bought No for $63.6k in a short burst, backed by a 410x jump in market activity. Two wallets in the cluster have strong records, including one winning 82% of 326 bets and another up $1.8M with a 63% win rate. They entered around 62-63¢, meaning they only need Union Berlin to fail to win more than about 37-38% of the time.

This bettor has won 52 of 52 resolved markets and is up about $2.05M lifetime They trade across 62 markets in 52 events and still show a perfect record, which is rare at this scale They bought Yes at 37¢ while market volume is running 524x above normal, suggesting strong pre-match positioning

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $10k on $38k invested They bought No at 60¢, suggesting they see Union Berlin's win chance as lower than the market implies The signal comes from proven betting skill rather than a routine whale-sized trade

Part of: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,229.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

9-wallet NO pile-in

Nine wallets piled $63.6k into No right before kickoff, including multiple highly profitable serial traders and a 410x volume spike that suggests unusually strong conviction.

Nine wallets bought No for $63.6k in a short burst, backed by a 410x jump in market activity.
Two wallets in the cluster have strong records, including one winning 82% of 326 bets and another up $1.8M with a 63% win rate.
They entered around 62-63¢, meaning they only need Union Berlin to fail to win more than about 37-38% of the time.

$63,572 on No

52-0 sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 52-for-52 resolved record and over $2.05M profit just bought Union Berlin in a market seeing an extreme pre-match volume surge.

This bettor has won 52 of 52 resolved markets and is up about $2.05M lifetime
They trade across 62 markets in 52 events and still show a perfect record, which is rare at this scale
They bought Yes at 37¢ while market volume is running 524x above normal, suggesting strong pre-match positioning

$4,493 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable sports grinder buys dip

Profitable high-volume sports trader with over $1.18M in realized gains bought Yes at 38¢ into an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite only moderate signal strength.

This bettor has won 236 of 415 resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime
They bought Union Berlin at 38¢ during a 524x surge in market activity before kickoff
Entry at 38¢ offers cheap exposure in a liquid market after the price drifted lower over the past week

$4,433 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp bettor buys No

A bettor with an 88% win rate and strong edge bought No at 60¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $10k on $38k invested
They bought No at 60¢, suggesting they see Union Berlin's win chance as lower than the market implies
The signal comes from proven betting skill rather than a routine whale-sized trade

$1,704 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor in volume spike

A bettor with an 83% win rate and $834k profit bought Union Berlin at 41¢ as volume suddenly surged, making this a credible sharp entry despite the modest composite score.

This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up $834k lifetime.
They bought at 41¢ during a sudden market-wide volume surge, suggesting informed conviction.
At 41¢, the bet only needs to win a bit more than 4 times in 10 to pay off.

$4,027 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 48586380, $184,921 (96% win rate)
0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 48586380, $48,762 (89% win rate)
0x6551...e043 — Outcome 48586380, $8,959 (100% win rate)
0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 48586380, $5,198 (98% win rate)
0x8fe7...4f20 — Outcome 48586380, $2,947 (62% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 48586380, $1,671 (55% win rate)
0x9945...bfa6 — Outcome 48586380, $1,500
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 31953442, $1,085
0x9f9e...4c57 — Outcome 48586380, $784 (80% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 48586380, $730 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?

Resolved1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin$78,229 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.