Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?

This Polymarket asks whether 1. FC Union Berlin will win its scheduled match on April 18, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Union Berlin wins in regular time, including stoppage time; any draw, loss, cancellation without a make-up game, or other non-win outcome resolves to No. It is set to resolve after the match is completed, with $5,289 in tracked smart money and 1 recent smart money signal noted.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,698.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

99% win-rate bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate sold Yes at 44¢, which translates to buying No at 56¢ in a liquid soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $280k.
  • They've traded 160 markets across 158 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off bet.
  • Their sale of Yes at 44¢ is equivalent to buying No at 56¢, a meaningful $5.3k position.

$5,289 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% win-rate bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 99% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh $5.4k position on Union Berlin at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $280k overall.
  • They have traded 154 markets across 152 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Union Berlin at 45¢, a price that suggests they see the true win odds as meaningfully higher.

$5,409 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a91...c6b1 Yes, $11,956
  2. 0xb2a4...cf8a No, $8,431 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $6,414 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x4a8d...31ea Yes, $4,661 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x70d8...a237 Yes, $3,934 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x6945...873d No, $2,643 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x629c...6c01 No, $2,400
  8. 0x332a...33ba Yes, $2,186
  9. 0x5054...0aaf Yes, $2,184 (78% win rate)
  10. 0x6bb8...a6fa No, $1,732 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?

1h$10,698 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga
Yes
44¢
No
56¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
58¢
56¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?

2h ago

$5,289 on No at 56¢

56¢56¢

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?

3h ago

$5,409 on Yes at 45¢

45¢44¢1¢

Related Theses

Union Berlin Win Odds Apr 18, 2026 | Polymarket | PolySpotter