Part of: 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $511,775.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga
Notable Trades
4-wallet live sports pile-in
A four-wallet one-sided live-sports cluster bought over $220k of No within a minute of resolution, and this wallet alone put in $213k around 58-59¢ before the market moved to 76¢.
- Four wallets all piled into No for about $224k just before resolution, a strong coordinated directional signal.
- This wallet alone bought $213k of No at 58-59¢, and the market is now 76¢.
- The bets landed less than 1 minute before resolution during a huge volume spike, suggesting a fast information edge in live play.
$213,019 on No
Sharp bettor in buy cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this flow worth following despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 1,930 of 2,657 resolved trades and is up about $5.1M lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Yes together for $6.3k as volume ran 3,153x above normal.
- They entered around 42¢ while the market now sits near 40-41¢, signaling a clear Union Berlin win view.
$1,608 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Serial timer with $2.0M profit
A highly profitable serial live-sports bettor with over $2.0M in profit bought Union Berlin 2.8 minutes before resolution alongside two other wallets during a major volume surge.
- This bettor has won 68% of 8,037 resolved bets and is up $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought Yes just 2.8 minutes before resolution, and this wallet has 30 near-resolution bets across 18 markets.
- Three wallets piled into the same side for $68k total during a huge pre-match volume spike.
$2,493 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Late 3-wallet sports push
A profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 3-wallet late pre-resolution push into Yes during a massive volume spike, making this coordinated timing setup worth watching despite the wallet’s modest win rate.
- Three wallets bought Yes together for $68k total just 3.4 minutes before kickoff resolution.
- This wallet has made 3,819 resolved bets and is up $1.12M overall, showing real scale even with a 48% hit rate.
- Market volume exploded to 2,709x normal activity, suggesting concentrated late interest rather than routine flow.
$2,191 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
3-wallet live sports pile-in
Three wallets piled nearly $282k into No within a minute of resolution during a massive pre-match volume spike, a strong coordinated live-sports signal despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets bought nearly $282k of No just before resolution, showing unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- Market volume exploded to 3152.8x normal, and this cluster accounts for a major share of the action.
- They entered around 56-59¢ and the market is now 60¢, suggesting they pressed a late live edge.
$281,765 on No
99% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate sold Yes at 44¢, which translates to buying No at 56¢ in a liquid soccer market.
- This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $280k.
- They've traded 160 markets across 158 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off bet.
- Their sale of Yes at 44¢ is equivalent to buying No at 56¢, a meaningful $5.3k position.
$5,289 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
99% win-rate bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 99% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh $5.4k position on Union Berlin at 45¢.
- This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $280k overall.
- They have traded 154 markets across 152 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Union Berlin at 45¢, a price that suggests they see the true win odds as meaningfully higher.
$5,409 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x07bd...e993 — Outcome 20911265, $156,792 (67% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 20911265, $45,436 (67% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 20911265, $29,972 (63% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 20911265, $18,888 (75% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 20911265, $7,456 (70% win rate)
- 0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 20911265, $4,661 (98% win rate)
- 0x40d5...79a5 — Outcome 20911265, $4,243 (52% win rate)
- 0xabce...2f87 — Outcome 20911265, $4,074 (81% win rate)
- 0x3a13...db82 — Outcome 20911265, $2,238
- 0x332a...33ba — Outcome 20911265, $2,186
