This bettor has won 100% of 13 resolved bets and is up nearly $5.0M lifetime. They put over $534k into this match market, with the biggest visible buys on No at 52¢ now marked around 72¢. Volume exploded more than 300x above normal before the game, suggesting this wallet helped drive a major pre-event repricing.

Part of: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,168,024.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

88% winner backing favorite

Despite a weak alert score, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has an 88% record across 17 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $11.8k lifetime.
They bought nearly $2k of Yes at 87¢, backing the heavy favorite despite a very liquid market.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 60 points over the last day.

$1,977 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable cluster fading favorite

Four wallets leaned No, including profitable serial sports bettors, with a better current follow price despite one leg being profit-taking.

A $343k-profitable bettor with a 73% record joined the No side.
Four wallets put $6.1k behind the same direction, with fresh No buys making up about $5.1k.
No is now 46¢ versus their roughly 53¢ average entry, offering a cheaper follow-on price.

$6,075 on No

Perfect-record whale on No

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 13-0 resolved record and nearly $5M profit drove a huge pre-match volume spike, mainly buying No before the market moved sharply in its favor.

This bettor is 13-for-13 on resolved bets and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
They put over $600K through this market, with the biggest buys on No around 52–53¢ before it moved to 72¢.
The market saw a 500x+ volume spike, suggesting this was not normal activity.

$608,243 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

13-0 sharp whale

A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 13-0 resolved record deployed over $534k in a near-game soccer market, including large No buys at 52¢ that immediately marked up to 72¢.

This bettor has won 100% of 13 resolved bets and is up nearly $5.0M lifetime.
They put over $534k into this match market, with the biggest visible buys on No at 52¢ now marked around 72¢.
Volume exploded more than 300x above normal before the game, suggesting this wallet helped drive a major pre-event repricing.

$534,770 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

88% winner buying Yes

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $782k profit bought Mainz Yes at 26%, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $782,694 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 165 events with $1.43M in tracked cross-market volume.
Entry at 26¢ suggests a high-upside position if their edge on this match is right.

$2,608 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $3.16M lifetime P&L is buying Mainz No at 74¢ despite only a modest single-trade signal.

This bettor is up $3.16M lifetime across more than 13,000 resolved trades.
They have traded 560 markets across 358 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
Entry at 74¢ aligns with the market favorite and implies about 35% upside if the bet resolves correctly.

$2,489 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

88% winner backs underdog

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Mainz Yes at 28%.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $97K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 48 events and $80K in similar positioning.
Entry at 28¢ suggests they see Mainz as underpriced despite the market pricing it as an underdog.

$3,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

87% winner betting No

Surfacing because this is a highly proven sports bettor with 87% wins across 1,141 resolved positions and $2.29M profit, despite the individual trade being modest.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved positions and is up $2.29M lifetime.
They have traded 766 markets across 629 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
Buying No at 72¢ means they are backing Mainz not to win at roughly 1.4x payout.

$1,112 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with $78k lifetime P&L placed a $7k Yes bet in a quiet Mainz market, far above recent daily volume.

This bettor is up $78k lifetime across 112 resolved bets.
They have traded 62 events and 71 markets, showing a consistent sports-betting pattern.
The $7k Yes buy is about 18x this market’s 24h volume, at a 28¢ entry.

$7,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

0x8cdc...b83f — Outcome 17152309, $123,000 (46% win rate)
0x57cd...a0fb — Outcome 17152309, $97,563 (54% win rate)
0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 17152309, $50,000 (59% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 17152309, $41,428 (61% win rate)
0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 17152309, $18,000 (66% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17152309, $8,268 (63% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 17152309, $6,514 (55% win rate)
0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 17152309, $4,874 (78% win rate)
0xa5eb...93bf — Outcome 17152309, $3,677 (71% win rate)
0xf2b8...b908 — Outcome 17152309, $3,600 (81% win rate)

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Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?

Resolved1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05$1,168,024 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.