Part of: AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,889,860.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Yes
A brand-new wallet is adding roughly $1 million to an existing $4.37 million Yes position amid a massive volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.
- This 51-minute-old wallet has already invested $4.37 million and added another $1.00 million to Yes.
- Four wallets bought Yes for about $1.05 million during a 4,441x historical volume spike.
- The wallet continued buying around 42–47¢ despite the price weakening to 42%, signaling strong conviction rather than momentum chasing.
$84,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor backs AC Milan
A proven 86% win-rate bettor and a large one-sided cluster bought AC Milan Yes around 44–47%, while extraordinary volume and conflicting No flow make this a notable but high-risk signal.
- A bettor with an 86% win rate and $18.4M lifetime profit effectively bought Yes near 44¢ by selling No.
- Seven wallets committed $1.41M to Yes, amid a 2,278× historical volume spike.
- The market has since fallen to 24¢ and 25 other wallets bought No, so the trade shows strong conviction but substantial disagreement and risk.
$1,413,612 on Yes
New whale scaling into Yes
A brand-new wallet is adding roughly $1 million to an existing $4.37 million Yes position amid a massive volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.
- This 51-minute-old wallet has already invested $4.37 million and added another $1.00 million to Yes.
- Four wallets bought Yes for about $1.05 million during a 4,441x historical volume spike.
- The wallet continued buying around 42–47¢ despite the price weakening to 42%, signaling strong conviction rather than momentum chasing.
$1,002,665 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
18-wallet No cluster with sharp bettors
A large 18-wallet No cluster, including multiple highly profitable bettors, made a concentrated six-figure push amid an extreme volume spike, though opposing Yes flow warrants caution.
- 18 wallets bought No for a combined $609,775, including bettors with 79%–94% win rates and substantial profits.
- The market saw a 4,442x historical volume spike, indicating unusually concentrated positioning before the match.
- A separate four-wallet group bought $1.05M of Yes, so the signal is compelling but materially contested.
$290,400 on No
Sharp bettor joins seven-wallet Yes cluster
A highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate bought Yes alongside six other wallets amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 454 resolved trades and earned $1.59M in profit.
- Seven wallets bought Yes with $127,551 combined, indicating unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- The trade entered at 43¢, implying a potentially attractive price against the current 44% market odds.
$8,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Seven-wallet AC Milan Yes cluster
A strong coordinated Yes move involving seven wallets and $127,551, reinforced by an extreme pre-event volume spike and a highly active profitable trader adding to an existing position.
- Seven wallets bought Yes for a combined $127,551, signaling unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- Trading volume was nearly 9,854 times its historical average, with this wallet adding $62,519 to an existing Yes position.
- The lead bettor has won 66% of 32,027 resolved trades and is up $7.8 million lifetime.
$62,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Seven-wallet coordinated Yes buying
Seven wallets placed $127,551 in coordinated Yes bets alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a strong directional signal despite the trader's only moderate 63% win rate.
- Seven wallets are buying Yes, committing a combined $127,551 to AC Milan.
- Trading activity was 9,854 times the historical average, signaling an unusually concentrated event-driven move.
- This wallet has resolved 28,546 bets, a 63% win rate, and more than $4.1M in lifetime profit.
$2,298 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable bettor scales into Yes
A profitable bettor with an 86% win rate added nearly $25,000 to an existing Yes position in a very thin market, though the track record is based on only seven resolved bets.
- This bettor has won 86% of 7 resolved bets and is up $65,241 overall.
- They added nearly $25,000 to an existing AC Milan Yes position, showing increased conviction.
- The position is enormous relative to the market's $848 in 24-hour volume, making the move notable despite limited corroborating signals.
$24,997 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xa2a7...627b — Outcome 53421257, $109,342 (86% win rate)
- 0xc289...ab37 — Outcome 53421257, $14,286 (95% win rate)
- 0x1660...5598 — Outcome 53421257, $12,500 (90% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 53421257, $10,858 (45% win rate)
- 0x2dd7...89aa — Outcome 29853007, $10,696 (55% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 29853007, $9,472
- 0x620b...2e9f — Outcome 53421257, $7,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xaa65...1021 — Outcome 53421257, $5,960 (66% win rate)
- 0xee8e...0a7b — Outcome 53421257, $5,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xaca0...9b86 — Outcome 53421257, $4,500 (44% win rate)
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