Five wallets funded by the same source have put $14.6k behind the same side of this market This wallet has 2,570 resolved bets, a 63% win rate, and is up $23.4k lifetime The market saw a 684x volume spike before kickoff, and this wallet bought No at 83¢

Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK

Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,551.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Europa Conference League

Notable Trades

5-wallet funded cluster

A linked 5-wallet cluster with a long history of cross-market activity piled into No just minutes before kickoff, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the trade being modest in a fairly liquid market.

Five linked wallets funded by the same address have put $14.6k on this side of the market
This bettor has traded 110 markets across 95 events and is up $64k lifetime
The buy came 8 minutes before start at 84¢, showing late conviction on No

$2,488 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Funded cluster on No

A linked-wallet bettor with a large 2,570-bet history and positive P&L is buying No alongside a 5-wallet funded cluster during a major pre-match volume spike.

Five wallets funded by the same source have put $14.6k behind the same side of this market
This wallet has 2,570 resolved bets, a 63% win rate, and is up $23.4k lifetime
The market saw a 684x volume spike before kickoff, and this wallet bought No at 83¢

$1,244 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

5-wallet funded cluster

A profitable high-volume sports trader in a 5-wallet funded cluster bought No shortly before kickoff alongside a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

Five wallets funded by the same address have put $14.6k on the same side of this match
This wallet has 4,277 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up $121k lifetime
The market saw a 684x volume spike before the game, and this wallet bought No at 84¢

$3,637 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Linked 6-wallet sports cluster

Six wallets, five of them linked by a common funder, piled nearly $29k into No just minutes before kickoff in a strong one-sided cluster backed by several profitable high-volume sports traders.

Five linked wallets and one additional wallet all bought No within seconds, totaling $29.2k of coordinated flow.
Several of these bettors have long track records with 62-63% win rates and positive lifetime P&L across thousands of bets.
They paid 82-84¢ on No shortly before the match, reinforcing a strong consensus that AEK is overpriced at 18¢ to win.

$29,182 on No

Top Holders

0xd4c7...d640 — Outcome 53877459, $4,850
0xbb64...bfdc — Outcome 53877459, $4,387 (70% win rate)
0xe987...165c — Outcome 53877459, $3,536 (75% win rate)
0xe521...9cae — Outcome 53877459, $2,139
0x2629...7c59 — Outcome 53877459, $970
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 86720494, $688
0x447d...bd4a — Outcome 53877459, $656
0x1bd5...a3cc — Outcome 53877459, $577
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 53877459, $500
0x8aaf...7beb — Outcome 53877459, $500

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?

ResolvedRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK$36,551 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerEuropa Conference League

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 9, 2026 If AEK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.