Part of: AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,732.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Coordinated profitable football bettors
Four wallets, including two very high-volume profitable sports bettors, coordinated $14.3k on No amid a 388x pre-event volume spike.
- Four wallets put $14.3k on No, all taking the same side before the match.
- Two major bettors in the cluster are up $2.8M and $788k lifetime across huge volume.
- Market volume spiked 388x, and No has already moved from the mid-80¢ range to 92¢.
$14,278 on No
Proven cross-market sharp
A proven profitable wallet bought Draw at 41¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $41K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events with the same 75% win rate.
- Caution: they entered Draw at 41¢, but the market has since fallen to 8¢.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable sports trader bought No on the draw market amid a 27x pre-event volume spike, though the edge signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 32,148 resolved bets and $2.8M in lifetime profit.
- They bought No at 87¢, backing Bournemouth vs. Man City not to end in a draw.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 27x above its usual pace before the match.
$3,106 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Three-wallet draw push
Three wallets bought the draw into a major pre-match volume spike, with one profitable long-history bettor participating despite the market being fairly liquid.
- Three wallets all bought the draw, totaling about $4.0k during an 84.6x volume spike.
- One participant has 253 resolved bets, wins 69% of them, and is up $22.2k lifetime.
- The draw price is up 7 percentage points in the last day, showing momentum behind the same thesis.
$4,045 on Yes
Profitable wallets backing draw
High-scoring draw-side cluster is worth surfacing because multiple profitable wallets, including an 84% winner up $415k, are effectively buying Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $415k is effectively buying the draw around 22¢.
- Four wallets put $8.6k on the same side, while market volume spiked over 1,100x before the match.
- Several wallets have strong lifetime profits, including one up $815k and another up $180k.
$8,640 on Yes
New wallet in thin market
A 7-hour-old wallet with multiple positions made a large bet relative to this thin market, backing No at 78¢.
- A brand-new wallet is already placing sizable bets, with 8 positions opened in its first day.
- This $1.16K buy is large for a quiet market with only $2.4K total volume.
- The bettor is backing No at 78¢, implying confidence the match avoids a draw.
$1,163 on No
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 11261974, $59,408 (55% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11261974, $30,002
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 11261974, $4,420 (66% win rate)
- 0x97f9...0aeb — Outcome 11261974, $3,153 (82% win rate)
- 0x196b...4151 — Outcome 11261974, $2,818
- 0x9603...de5e — Outcome 11261974, $1,547
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 11261974, $1,380 (61% win rate)
- 0x551c...fe91 — Outcome 11261974, $1,025 (72% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 11261974, $986 (71% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11261974, $861 (71% win rate)
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