Part of: AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If AJ Auxerre wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $666,845.

Categories: Sports, Games, Ligue 1, Soccer

Notable Trades

Last-minute sports whale

A repeat-flagged wallet with early profitability placed an $81k live-sports bet on No less than a minute before resolution, ahead of a major move from 61¢ to 82¢.

  • Placed $81k less than 1 minute before resolution on a live sports market.
  • The wallet has won 4 of 5 resolved bets and is up about $2.5M on $6.3M invested.
  • Entry at 61¢ has already moved to 82¢, showing strong immediate confirmation.

$81,318 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Last-minute profitable whale

Very large near-resolution No buying by a repeatedly flagged profitable wallet, reinforced by one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike in a live soccer market.

  • This wallet is up $2.5M and put over $250K into this live match market near the end.
  • Most of the buying came in the final 13 minutes, including $81K less than 1 minute before resolution.
  • Three wallets pushed the same No side for about $241K during a 143x volume spike.

$252,629 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

$240K one-sided No flow

Strong one-sided flow with 3 wallets buying No for $240K during a major pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet's track record is mixed.

  • Three wallets are all buying No, totaling about $240K on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 143x versus its recent average, suggesting a sudden wave of positioning.
  • This wallet is only modestly proven, but it is profitable overall with about $6K in gains on $351K invested.

$3,362 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

Profitable whale-led No cluster

Three wallets, led by a highly profitable whale, bought $171.7K of No during a massive pre-event volume spike on a sports market.

  • A whale with $2.5M profit is leading this move, buying over $167K of No around 60¢.
  • Three wallets all bet the same way, totaling $171.7K and making up 61% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • Market volume spiked 216x before the match, suggesting this is not routine activity.

$171,698 on No

Last-minute sports whale cluster

Large coordinated last-minute buy on AJ Auxerre Yes, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with strong lifetime profit despite the price moving against the entry.

  • Three wallets bought $144K of Yes within the final 5 minutes, all at 40¢.
  • One wallet has made 10 near-resolution bets and is up $211K lifetime.
  • A 495x pre-game volume spike suggests unusual late money on this side.

$144,338 on Yes

98% sports sharp buying Yes

Elite 98% winner with a large sample and strong cross-market sports track record is buying AJ Auxerre Yes at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 1,105 resolved positions and is up $357,973 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 98% hit rate.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see Auxerre as underpriced versus the market.

$1,064 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Elite sports bettor cluster

Three wallets are converging on AJ Auxerre Yes, led by a highly profitable 86% bettor with $2.1M P&L and extensive cross-market history.

  • A bettor who wins 86% of resolved positions and is up $2.1M is buying Yes at 41¢.
  • Three wallets put $8.5K on the same side, including one seller of No converting into the same Yes view.
  • The lead bettor is a serial cross-market trader across 575 events with an 86% hit rate.

$8,474 on Yes

Elite 86% sports bettor

Elite high-volume sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $2.06M profit is buying AJ Auxerre Yes at 41¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $2.06M lifetime.
  • They have a huge sample size: 1,012 resolved positions with a strong edge versus market odds.
  • This is a serial sports trader with $5.46M deployed across 574 events.

$3,962 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbee5...a636 No, $750,278 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xd9c4...6f95 Yes, $452,172 (46% win rate)
  3. 0x507e...beae Yes, $84,260 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x37e4...c991 Yes, $78,339 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x709e...66f5 Yes, $67,147 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x204f...5e14 Yes, $46,135 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x4408...1b6a No, $25,575 (48% win rate)
  8. 0xbca8...f06d No, $14,761 (43% win rate)
  9. 0xd684...f320 Yes, $14,000 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xf68a...5b1b Yes, $12,500 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

ResolvedAJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice$666,845 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesLigue 1Soccer
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If AJ Auxerre wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
69¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$81,318 on No at 61¢

61¢0¢61¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$252,629 on No at 61¢

61¢0¢61¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$3,362 on No at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$171,698 on No at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$144,338 on Yes at 40¢

40¢100¢60¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$1,064 on Yes at 42¢

42¢100¢58¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$8,474 on Yes at 41¢

41¢100¢59¢

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

3h ago

$3,962 on Yes at 41¢

41¢100¢59¢

Related Theses