Part of: Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If Al Nassr Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,496.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Saudi Professional League

Notable Trades

91% sharp buying NO

Elite 91% win-rate wallet with $426k lifetime profit bought No against the favored side, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $426k lifetime.
  • They have traded 217 markets across 179 events with the same 91% hit rate.
  • Buying No at 38¢ goes against the market favorite and would pay about 2.6x if it wins.

$1,750 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Four sharp wallets fade favorite

Four profitable wallets simultaneously sold Al Nassr Yes into a huge pre-event volume spike, creating a clear bearish signal equivalent to buying No around 36¢.

  • Four profitable wallets all moved the same way, with track records around 73–78% wins and $22k–$29k profit each.
  • They sold Yes within about one minute, equivalent to buying No around 36¢.
  • The trade came during a 238x volume spike and helped push Yes down 17 points.

$6,341 on No

Sharp soccer bettor re-enters

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, and is buying Yes at 44¢ on a soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $12,959 lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 44¢, below the current 48¢ market price.
  • A prior Yes position was closed, so this looks like a fresh re-entry rather than simple averaging.

$1,342 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

New repeat winner buying Yes

A 2-day-old repeat large bettor with early strong profits is buying Yes on Al Nassr, adding to a rapid $11.9k flagged betting pattern.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 6 times for large bets totaling $11.9k.
  • The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved markets and up about $6.0k on $15.5k invested.
  • They are buying Yes at 44¢ in a liquid soccer market, suggesting a view that Al Nassr is underpriced.

$1,131 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor exits Yes

A profitable sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is exiting Al Nassr Yes shortly before kickoff, effectively pointing toward No at 57¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $13k lifetime.
  • They sold $3.4k of Yes shortly before the match, cutting a prior $8k position instead of adding.
  • Selling Yes at 43¢ converts to a No entry around 57¢.

$3,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winning sports bettor

Surface due to a profitable sports bettor with an 88% record buying a meaningful Yes position at 44¢.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved bets and is up about $13k lifetime.
  • They are buying Al Nassr at 44¢, below their historical average winning entry price of 70¢.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional bet rather than a thin-market move.

$3,503 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x966c...9b1a No, $17,543 (57% win rate)
  2. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $16,102 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x3f3a...e8fd No, $7,326 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xe4d3...c2f0 Yes, $6,795 (66% win rate)
  5. 0x9cb9...32f2 Yes, $6,000 (39% win rate)
  6. 0x204f...5e14 No, $5,329 (55% win rate)
  7. 0xa1e4...4f8a No, $5,286 (91% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 No, $4,541 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x507e...beae No, $4,400 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xb619...5068 Yes, $3,800 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

ResolvedAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club$17,496 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerSaudi Professional League
Yes
6¢
No
95¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If Al Nassr Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
101¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

47m ago

$1,750 on No at 38¢

38¢95¢57¢

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

1h ago

$6,341 on No at 36¢

36¢95¢59¢

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

1h ago

$1,342 on Yes at 44¢

44¢6¢38¢

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

1h ago

$1,131 on Yes at 44¢

44¢6¢38¢

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

2h ago

$3,430 on No at 57¢

57¢95¢38¢

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

2h ago

$3,503 on Yes at 44¢

44¢6¢38¢

Related Theses