Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Albania will finish in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,053 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts showing a Eurovision-focused bettor fading Albania’s chances. The market is scheduled to resolve after Eurovision 2026, with a final fallback resolution date of July 31, 2026 if no winner is announced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,229.
Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture
Notable Trades
Eurovision specialist fades Albania
High-volume Eurovision specialist with a 78% hit rate is taking a cross-market No position on Albania top-10, though lifetime P&L is negative and the entry is now worse than market.
- This bettor has a huge 2,041-bet history and wins 78% of resolved markets.
- They are active across 9 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 75¢, but the market has moved to about 70¢, so copying only makes sense below the original level.
$1,053 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Cross-market Eurovision No bettor
A high-volume cross-market Eurovision bettor is building a coordinated No position on Albania despite having negative lifetime P&L, with the trade moving a thin market sharply upward.
- This wallet has placed $15.7k across 9 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a clear event-wide thesis.
- The Albania No position is large for this market, equal to over half of the past day’s volume.
- The trader scaled in from 61¢ to 75¢, and No has already moved to 74¢.
$4,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xd7ad...4953 — Yes, $7,970 (38% win rate)
- 0x594e...1c11 — No, $6,696 (78% win rate)
- 0xb410...7736 — No, $978
- 0x2c61...ac8b — Yes, $944
- 0x16cb...2704 — No, $900 (76% win rate)
- 0x03ed...c077 — No, $665
- 0x22d3...5e3a — No, $613
- 0x8bf3...6077 — Yes, $555
- 0x7131...b3a6 — No, $541
- 0xae31...7fa1 — No, $422 (27% win rate)
Related Theses
Nordics and underdogs thrive
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Finland shines, Greece falters
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Both qualifiers advance confidently
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