Part of: May Inflation US - Annual
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
This prediction market tracks whether the 12-month Consumer Price Index inflation rate ending in May 2026 will be reported as 4.3% by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It resolves using the official May 2026 CPI report, expected on June 10, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,321 in smart money activity, including a recent Yes buy from a profitable macro bettor.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,321.
Categories: CPI, Inflation, Economy, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Macro Indicators
Notable Trades
Profitable macro bettor buying Yes
A profitable 76% winner with positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes on a macro market that has already moved sharply upward over the past week.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $23.6K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 38¢ after the market rose 17.5 points over the past week.
- The position is modest, but the wallet’s proven record makes the trade worth following.
$1,321 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x04b9...79e0 — No, $10,170 (64% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $9,830
- 0x1c3e...176d — Yes, $7,714 (30% win rate)
- 0x2f7b...8ed8 — Yes, $6,271 (76% win rate)
- 0x0ffc...8236 — Yes, $5,559 (52% win rate)
- 0x04dc...2387 — No, $1,236 (45% win rate)
- 0xd8d5...8935 — Yes, $987 (75% win rate)
- 0x8f0d...93de — Yes, $740
- 0xc946...1825 — Yes, $695
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $526 (19% win rate)
