Part of: Anthropic IPO by __?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic shares will be listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,168 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal from an 85% winner fading the IPO outcome. The market resolves using official Anthropic filings, company announcements, and relevant securities exchange records, with resolution scheduled for July 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,168.

Categories: IPOs, Dario, Finance, IPO, Anthropic IPO, anthropic

Notable Trades

85% winner fading IPO

A highly experienced profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is fading Anthropic IPO odds after a sharp weekly drop.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 1,178 resolved trades and is up about $5.7K lifetime.
  • They sold Yes at 73¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 27¢.
  • The market has already moved 14 points toward No this week, and this trade follows that momentum.

$1,168 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a4c...532b No, $9,700 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x1543...baaf No, $6,586 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xb1a1...d308 Yes, $3,662 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $3,569 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x087b...713e Yes, $3,103 (58% win rate)
  6. 0xd5b9...e44e No, $2,957 (60% win rate)
  7. 0xef62...0179 Yes, $1,800
  8. 0xb046...0800 Yes, $1,308
  9. 0x1ee9...197f No, $1,300 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xe60f...f4b4 Yes, $1,000 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Anthropic skips 2026 IPO

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran deal by April

Covers 2 related markets

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

380dAnthropic IPO by __?$1,168 tracked1 signalIPOsDarioFinanceIPOAnthropic IPOanthropic
Yes
67¢
No
34¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
92¢
78¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

1h ago

$1,168 on No at 27¢

27¢34¢7¢

Related Theses