Part of: Argentina vs. Algeria
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
This Polymarket market asks whether Argentina vs. Algeria will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with resolution expected on June 17, 2026 UTC. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,846 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market, including alerts tied to draw-side buying.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 16, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,515.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable cluster buying draw
High-scoring cluster with three wallets buying the draw, led by a highly profitable sports bettor and supported by cross-market event flow.
- The lead bettor has 1,042 resolved trades and is up $965k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the draw within five minutes, putting nearly $10k on Yes at 23–24¢.
- The same event is seeing cross-market positioning and an 18.7x pre-game volume spike.
$9,915 on Yes
83% winning bettor
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% record on 18 resolved bets with positive P&L and is buying No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor has won 15 of 18 resolved bets and is up $3.3K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at 67¢ on average, suggesting a meaningful edge beyond just backing heavy favorites.
- They bought No at 78¢, effectively betting Argentina vs. Algeria does not end in a draw.
$4,846 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
77% winner buying draw
Sharp wallet with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought the draw at 22%, making this a copy-worthy soccer position despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved positions and is up $11,068 lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin: 77% wins at 46% average entry odds.
- Entry at 22¢ implies a potential 4.5x payout if Argentina vs. Algeria finishes level.
$1,753 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — No, $409,199 (62% win rate)
- 0x91ce...16ec — Yes, $200,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $111,799
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Yes, $73,599 (66% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — No, $49,479 (53% win rate)
- 0x0838...63b1 — Yes, $46,490 (81% win rate)
- 0x8b2c...d7e6 — Yes, $42,200 (100% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $40,263 (47% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Yes, $39,885 (92% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $39,523 (65% win rate)
