Part of: Argentina vs. Austria
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $453,888.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Serial sports closer
Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable live-positioning buy on No, supported by a major volume spike and immediate move to 100%.
- This bettor has 844 resolved trades, wins 64%, and is up $14k lifetime.
- They bought $9.8k of No at 89¢, and the market has already moved to 100¢.
- Volume spiked 79x above normal, suggesting a broader rush into the same event.
$9,790 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Cross-market soccer sharp
Surfaced because a historically profitable 76% win-rate wallet is re-entering No while also positioning across three markets in the same match amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76% of 235 resolved trades and is slightly profitable across $2.1M invested.
- They are betting across 3 markets in the same Argentina vs. Austria event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Entry at 85¢ on No is in line with the market’s current 86% odds, so this is more of a sharp-follow than a mispricing bet.
$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Serial bettors buying draw
Three wallets are aligned on the draw, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win record, though the total size is modest versus this very liquid match market.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 76% of resolved bets across 235 markets.
- Three wallets put $7.4k on the draw at about 15–16¢.
- This is part of broader cross-market positioning across the same event, not just a one-off bet.
$7,398 on Yes
New whale backing draw
A repeat new-wallet whale bought $260k of Yes at 22¢ during a massive pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction despite limited resolved history.
- A 14-day-old wallet put $260k on Yes at 22¢ in two back-to-back buys.
- This wallet has now been flagged 58 times with $4.8M in notable bets, suggesting a repeat high-conviction operator.
- Market volume is spiking 652x above its historical average ahead of the match.
$259,979 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven winner buying draw
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.84M lifetime profit bought the draw amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 192 events, with $877K in tracked event-level bets.
- Market activity spiked about 470x above normal before the match, and they entered Yes at 21¢.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought the draw at 21¢, with a strong lifetime P&L and pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across 515 resolved markets.
- They have traded 287 events and won 63% of resolved bets, suggesting repeat sports-market edge.
- Entry at 21¢ implies a roughly 4.8x payout if Argentina vs. Austria ends level.
$3,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp cluster buying draw
High-scoring one-sided draw bet led by multiple profitable sharp wallets, including 26/26 and 30/31 recent track records, despite the market moving against their entries so far.
- Nine wallets put $24.8k on the draw, all in the same direction.
- Two standout bettors are 26/26 and 30/31 on resolved positions, with about $115k combined profit.
- Several entries were at 22–30¢, while the current price is 16¢, meaning the same thesis is cheaper now.
$24,782 on Yes
Proven winner buying draw
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.84M lifetime profit bought the draw amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 192 events, with $877K in tracked event-level bets.
- Market activity spiked about 470x above normal before the match, and they entered Yes at 21¢.
$2,625 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
96% winner buying draw
Surface: a highly profitable 96% winner with extensive cross-market history is buying the draw at 22¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $321k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events with $1.46M deployed.
- Entry at 22¢ implies they see the draw as a strong mispriced opportunity.
$4,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong cross-market history bought No on the draw market at 79¢ amid a modest pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $91.8K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market sports trader, active across 46 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Entry at 79¢ suggests they see Austria vs. Argentina avoiding a draw as underpriced.
$1,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Yes, $1,996,933 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $554,232
- 0xa87d...e4bf — Yes, $39,981 (63% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Yes, $33,517 (80% win rate)
- 0x6880...cf03 — Yes, $31,457 (81% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Yes, $20,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xcb75...33f6 — Yes, $20,000
- 0xa4fd...748b — Yes, $18,750 (87% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Yes, $13,043 (93% win rate)
- 0xda6a...4694 — Yes, $10,000
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