Part of: world-cup-group-j-winner

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,600.

Categories: world cup, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New repeat whale fading favorite

A 4-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is taking a meaningful contrarian position against Argentina winning Group J, though it has no resolved track record yet.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already placed $18.4K in flagged large bets.
  • They are buying No at 30¢ against a 70% favorite, a clear contrarian World Cup futures position.
  • The $3.6K trade is meaningful versus $23.6K in 24h volume, but the wallet has no resolved track record yet.

$3,600 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 No, $15,000 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $14,446 (83% win rate)
  3. 0x37c2...198c No, $12,000
  4. 0xda3a...381f No, $11,000 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x11a7...2c03 Yes, $10,268 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x8fba...d08a Yes, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  7. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $9,754
  8. 0x014c...820c Yes, $8,200 (41% win rate)
  9. 0x6a32...0086 Yes, $6,500 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xe075...a98c Yes, $5,634 (42% win rate)

Related Theses

England Portugal or Spain wins

Covers 3 related markets

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

17dworld-cup-group-j-winner$3,600 tracked1 signalworld cupSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup
Yes
71¢
No
30¢

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
75¢
72¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$3,600 on No at 30¢

30¢30¢

Related Theses