Part of: England vs. Argentina

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $240,655.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports whale

Profitable high-volume sports trader added $61k to an existing large Argentina Yes position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 62% of resolved trades and is up about $295k lifetime.
  • They added $61k at 32¢ to an existing Argentina Yes position of about $320k.
  • Market volume spiked 125x versus its historical average, suggesting fresh pre-game conviction.

$61,267 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Proven bettor adding No

A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is adding a $27.4k No bet to an existing Argentina fade, though the market is highly liquid and the edge signal is moderate.

  • This bettor has won 76% of resolved trades and is up $72k lifetime.
  • They are adding $27.4k to an existing $40k No position, showing continued conviction.
  • This wallet has traded across 59 events with a strong long-term record.

$27,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Proven profitable bettor with a strong edge is adding to an existing Argentina Yes position at 32¢, though the trade is modest in a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades despite typically entering around 44¢, and is up $143k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 37 events and $368k in tracked correlated bets.
  • They are adding to an existing Argentina Yes position at 32¢, bringing total exposure on this market to about $6.7k.

$2,129 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Three-wallet NO surge

Coordinated $116k No buying with a 100x pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the largest wallets have weak lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets bought $116K of No in the same window, with one wallet adding over $110K at 68¢.
  • Volume is running 100x above its historical pace, and these wallets have put $174K across three related markets.
  • One smaller participant has won 93% of 379 resolved bets, though most of the money came from less successful whales.

$115,858 on No

93% winner adding No

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an Argentina No position at 68¢ despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $62K lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market sports record across 34 events with the same 93% hit rate.
  • This is an add to an existing No position at 68¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,163 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Linked wallets buying Yes

Five wallets, including a linked pair, bought $15.4k of Argentina Yes during a 12.3x pre-event volume spike, with one high-volume profitable bettor also joining.

  • Five wallets bought the same side in a tight window, including two funded by the same source.
  • They added $15.4k at 32¢ while market volume ran 12.3x above its normal pace.
  • One participant has 65k resolved bets and is up $629k lifetime.

$32,838 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10568926, $1,335,957
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10568926, $248,349 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x8372...5223 Outcome 10568926, $176,142 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x55f9...8615 Outcome 10568926, $136,315 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 10568926, $130,973 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x10ff...5088 Outcome 10568926, $129,537 (58% win rate)
  7. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 10568926, $101,998 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 10568926, $99,999 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 10568926, $71,129
  10. 0x1136...0c2e Outcome 10568926, $59,999 (46% win rate)

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Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

ResolvedEngland vs. Argentina$240,655 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 15, 2026 If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
66¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

3d ago

$61,267 on Yes at 32¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

3d ago

$27,400 on No at 69¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

3d ago

$2,129 on Yes at 32¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

3d ago

$115,858 on No at 68¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

3d ago

$1,163 on No at 68¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

2d ago

$32,838 on Yes at 32¢

Related Theses