Part of: Spain vs. Argentina
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,960.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
94% win-rate bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $14,800 bet on No.
- This bettor has won 94% of 290 resolved positions and is up $2.8 million.
- The $14,800 purchase backs No at 74%, aligning with a long-running, profitable cross-market strategy.
- The trade implies Argentina has roughly a 26% chance to win within 90 minutes.
$14,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp bettor scaling into No
A proven 88% sports-market bettor with a substantial edge is adding to an existing No position at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $20,820 lifetime.
- They have beaten implied odds by roughly 30 percentage points across 49 resolved positions.
- The $2,920 purchase adds to an existing No position at 73¢, signaling continued conviction that Argentina will not win.
$5,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% win-rate bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and 31 percentage points of edge is making a fresh $2,500 bet on No.
- This bettor has won 88% of 2,142 resolved positions and earned $3.78 million in profit.
- The $2,500 No position is a fresh directional bet from a serial trader active across 1,198 events.
- Buying No at 73¢ implies the bettor sees Argentina's win probability as below the market's 27% estimate.
$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor scaling into No
A proven 88% sports-market bettor with a substantial edge is adding to an existing No position at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $20,820 lifetime.
- They have beaten implied odds by roughly 30 percentage points across 49 resolved positions.
- The $2,920 purchase adds to an existing No position at 73¢, signaling continued conviction that Argentina will not win.
$2,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor scaling into No
A proven 88% sports-market bettor with a substantial edge is adding to an existing No position at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $20,820 lifetime.
- They have beaten implied odds by roughly 30 percentage points across 49 resolved positions.
- The $2,920 purchase adds to an existing No position at 73¢, signaling continued conviction that Argentina will not win.
$2,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40285215, $8,726,228
- 0x14c3...df68 — Outcome 22596903, $560,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x51ea...150f — Outcome 22596903, $293,924 (55% win rate)
- 0x7cf9...2798 — Outcome 22596903, $274,000
- 0x440a...035a — Outcome 22596903, $202,256 (48% win rate)
- 0x17ec...31b1 — Outcome 22596903, $198,161
- 0x9ba7...f56b — Outcome 22596903, $193,604 (50% win rate)
- 0x4c0d...c476 — Outcome 22596903, $190,476
- 0x08b2...257b — Outcome 22596903, $165,121 (50% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 22596903, $140,000 (60% win rate)
