Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,950.
Notable Trades
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
A proven profitable cross-market trader with a 71% win rate bought Argentina at 10¢, a low-price longshot position that fits a broad World Cup event thesis.
- This bettor has won 287 of 403 resolved trades and is up about $61.8k overall
- They trade heavily across related markets — 291 markets over 229 events — which suggests an event-level edge rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Argentina at 10¢, pricing this as a longshot with roughly 9x upside if their read is right
$4,950 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,312,449
- 0xe40e...a94d — Yes, $318,626
- 0xfa8b...4c77 — Yes, $190,299
- 0x6a96...671c — Yes, $183,008
- 0x8585...de96 — Yes, $154,003
- 0x4cb5...b536 — No, $112,600
- 0x6ef6...52b9 — Yes, $91,810
- 0x0b21...4a5e — Yes, $86,776
- 0xd702...daa9 — Yes, $77,735
- 0xce84...9e2b — Yes, $70,000
