Part of: Armenia vs. Kazakhstan
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,345.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
Profitable new whale
A 3-day-old repeat whale with $184k early profit added $19k to Armenia Yes, making this a strong new-wallet conviction signal despite only six resolved wins so far.
- This 3-day-old bettor is already up $184k and has won all 6 resolved bets so far.
- They have now been flagged 29 times, with about $555k in notable bets across 8 positions.
- This trade adds $19k on Armenia Yes at about 45.5¢, implying they see value above the current 42¢ market price.
$19,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
84% serial sports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and +$43,959 lifetime P&L is buying Armenia Yes at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $43,959 lifetime.
- They have traded across 48 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying at 55¢ after a 9-point weekly move suggests they still see value despite recent momentum.
$1,230 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
84% serial sports trader
Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 84% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is betting against Armenia winning.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 2,321 markets and is up about $65.8K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 731 events with over $1.2M total staked.
- Selling Yes at 41¢ is equivalent to buying No at 59¢, betting Armenia does not win in regulation.
$1,082 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
84% winner repositioning
A very high-sample sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate made large binary-market sells, with the bigger leg equivalent to buying Armenia Yes at 27¢.
- This bettor has won 84% of 2,321 resolved bets and is up $65.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 731 events with over $1.2M in total betting history.
- The larger trade is equivalent to buying Armenia at 27¢, well below the current 44¢ market price.
$5,128 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
84% winner in thin market
Sharp 84% win-rate wallet made unusually large trades in a very quiet market, though the position is somewhat mixed and appears to net toward Armenia Yes.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $66K lifetime.
- They traded $12.9K in a market with only a few hundred dollars of recent volume.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 731 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$12,905 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 53240114, $41,742 (96% win rate)
- 0x8105...3287 — Outcome 53240114, $2,236 (82% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 34806972, $1,933
- 0x0f0b...027f — Outcome 53240114, $990 (76% win rate)
- 0x56bc...9103 — Outcome 53240114, $587
- 0x6553...7a71 — Outcome 53240114, $556
- 0xf3c4...0216 — Outcome 53240114, $478
- 0x2843...0ac5 — Outcome 53240114, $466 (84% win rate)
- 0xd331...733c — Outcome 53240114, $465 (72% win rate)
- 0xda16...6da2 — Outcome 53240114, $400
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