Part of: Armenia vs. Moldova
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,426.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
Elite sports cross-market sharp
Elite high-volume bettor with an 89% resolved-bet record bought Armenia No at 51¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $208,688 lifetime.
- They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- They bought No at 51¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Large thin-market No bet
A single wallet made a $4.5k equivalent BUY No on an extremely thin Armenia win market, with the trade dwarfing available liquidity despite no proven wallet history.
- A bettor put $4.5k against Armenia winning, far larger than the market’s $212 liquidity.
- The order book is extremely thin with an 82¢ spread, so this looks like a high-conviction position in a quiet market.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Armenia not winning as close to even money but underpriced.
$4,464 on No | Wallet win rate: 37%
New whale on thin book
A 16-hour-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and put $4.7k on Yes in an extremely thin market, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
- A brand-new wallet has already placed 9 positions and $26k in flagged bets.
- This $4.7k Yes buy is large for a market with only about $228 of liquidity.
- The wide 8¢/90¢ spread means this bettor is taking a strong view in a very thin book.
$4,738 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 37%
Top Holders
- 0x4d74...a37f — Outcome 83528146, $2,313 (63% win rate)
- 0x5ad5...37b9 — Outcome 83528146, $910 (79% win rate)
- 0xf4a7...b2ef — Outcome 83528146, $850 (97% win rate)
- 0xe471...34c0 — Outcome 83528146, $847 (87% win rate)
- 0x06a9...1a49 — Outcome 83528146, $700 (68% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 21401693, $634
- 0x2f0b...5577 — Outcome 83528146, $311 (94% win rate)
- 0xa24d...38b2 — Outcome 83528146, $264
- 0x4fd5...feb0 — Outcome 83528146, $239
- 0x6bcb...f3af — Outcome 83528146, $218
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