Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid

Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,941.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-term record bought No at 85¢ before the market moved to 98¢, though the copy window is mostly gone.

This bettor has won 66% of 6,687 resolved bets and is up about $954k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 101 events and $517k of flagged event flow.
They bought No at 85¢ before it moved to 98¢, so the trade was right but should not be chased far above entry.

$1,533 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp 4-wallet YES cluster

High-scoring coordinated Yes buying from four wallets, including highly profitable bettors and a 32.5x pre-event volume spike, makes this draw position worth surfacing.

Four wallets bought the same side for $7.4K, with entries from 23¢ to 28¢ before the market moved to 30¢.
One bettor has a 99% record and is up $300K, while another has made $954K across more than 6,600 resolved bets.
Volume is running 32.5x above normal, and the Yes price is up 7 points in the last day.

$7,408 on Yes

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64614360, $145,648
0x1cfc...b8e0 — Outcome 80695046, $50,260 (50% win rate)
0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 80695046, $21,739 (50% win rate)
0x203d...2b2c — Outcome 80695046, $10,805 (51% win rate)
0x68d0...b4da — Outcome 80695046, $5,435 (67% win rate)
0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 80695046, $5,000 (79% win rate)
0x44c4...09cb — Outcome 80695046, $4,737 (46% win rate)
0x3ac2...f949 — Outcome 80695046, $2,968 (69% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 80695046, $2,877 (53% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 80695046, $2,778 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

ResolvedArsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid$8,941 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUCL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 5, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.