Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,198,180.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Serial winner leads No cluster

Strong No cluster led by an 85% winner with $1.13M profit and a repeated near-resolution betting pattern, though two Yes sells appear partly to be position exits.

  • A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.13M bought No near the end.
  • Six wallets put $20.1K on No, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • No is now 14¢ versus the main 33¢ entries, offering a cheaper follow than the sharp buys.

$20,140 on No

Serial live-sports timer

Serial near-resolution bettor put $11.8k on Arsenal Yes at 68¢ minutes before close, with heavy market volume and a fast move to 97¢ despite a weak overall wallet record.

  • This wallet has made 35 near-resolution bets across 26 markets, totaling $92k.
  • They bought $11.8k of Yes at 68¢ just minutes before close, and the market quickly moved to 97¢.
  • Volume spiked 131x and Yes jumped 16 points, confirming strong late momentum.

$11,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Serial winner buying late No

Surface the No side because a highly profitable serial near-resolution sports bettor joined a $12.4k No cluster minutes before close, despite opposing large Yes flow.

  • The lead No bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.13M lifetime.
  • They bought No 3 minutes before resolution, matching a repeated last-minute pattern across 21 markets.
  • Four wallets put $12.4k on No around 33¢, implying about a 3x payout if Arsenal fails to win.

$12,421 on No

Linked cluster buying Yes

Strong one-sided Arsenal Yes flow backed by an 11-wallet $1.03M cluster, a proven 78% winner, and a massive pre-event volume spike.

  • 11 wallets bought the same side for about $1.03M, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $24.6K lifetime.
  • Yes jumped from 67¢ to 84¢ after a 655x volume spike, showing strong momentum.

$3,173 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

New whale leads 11-wallet YES wave

A very large new-wallet Arsenal Yes buy is backed by 11-wallet one-sided flow, a 655x volume spike, and immediate price movement from 67¢ to 84¢.

  • A 9-day-old whale bought $904.5k of Yes at 67¢ across four trades.
  • 11 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $1.03M, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • Volume spiked 655x and the price has already moved from 67¢ to 84¢.

$904,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

11-wallet Yes surge

Strong coordinated Arsenal Yes flow: 11 wallets bought the same side for over $1M, alongside a very new profitable wallet whose 68¢ entry has already moved to 84¢.

  • 11 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $1.03M in Yes bets.
  • This wallet is only 5 hours old but has already made 5 flagged large bets and is up $1,487.
  • They entered at 68¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢ after a major volume spike.

$6,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Linked whale cluster buying Yes

A $230k five-wallet cluster, including linked funding and a repeat new whale, is buying Arsenal Yes near match resolution despite already high liquidity.

  • Five wallets bought $230k of Arsenal Yes at 67¢, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • A 9-day-old repeat whale has been flagged 164 times with $4.9M in prior large bets.
  • One participating bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $24.6k lifetime.

$229,977 on Yes

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought $10k of Arsenal Yes amid a 23x pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the edge signal is moderate.

  • This bettor has traded across 150 sports events and is up about $45k lifetime.
  • They put $10k on Arsenal at 67¢, a meaningful but not market-moving position.
  • Market volume is running 23x above its historical average before kickoff.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0eb5...c494 Yes, $1,350,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xe26c...88cf No, $371,198 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xb652...2db4 No, $298,001 (40% win rate)
  4. 0x9cb9...32f2 No, $220,000 (39% win rate)
  5. 0xc96a...396a Yes, $144,291
  6. 0x39d3...9ef0 No, $104,229 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xa8e0...ad50 No, $90,000 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x1b47...d814 No, $82,097 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xc41d...74fd No, $80,500 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x57cd...a0fb No, $75,756 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Resolved$1,198,180 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
84¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$20,140 on No at 33¢

33¢0¢33¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$11,769 on Yes at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$12,421 on No at 33¢

33¢0¢33¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$3,173 on Yes at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$904,500 on Yes at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

2h ago

$6,200 on Yes at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

3h ago

$229,977 on Yes at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

3h ago

$10,000 on Yes at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Related Theses