Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,761.

Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Large cluster scaling into Arsenal Yes

A $61.5K three-wallet Yes cluster, led by a $58.4K add to an existing large position, coincided with a 43x volume spike and a 21-point price rise.

Three wallets bought $61,483 of Arsenal Yes, including a $58,448 purchase at 36¢.
The buying coincided with a 43x historical volume spike and Yes moving up 21 percentage points to 60%.
The largest bettor was adding to an existing $1.95M Yes position, signaling sustained conviction rather than a first-time wager.

$8,035 on Yes

Serial trader buys Arsenal No

A highly experienced serial trader with a large resolved-bet sample entered No during a 227x historical volume spike, providing a credible directional signal despite modest edge.

This bettor has won 70% of 90,942 resolved bets and is up $533,451 lifetime.
The $1,868 No purchase came during a 227x surge versus historical market activity.
The No entry at 66¢ implies roughly a 66% chance Arsenal does not win within 90 minutes.

$1,868 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable cluster scaling into No

Three wallets, including two profitable bettors, added $17.6K to No during an extreme volume spike, making this coordinated bearish positioning worth monitoring despite the liquid market.

Three wallets bought No for $17,618 in a burst that was over 10,000 times the historical trading baseline.
One bettor wins 63% of 1,628 resolved trades and is up $556K lifetime; another is up $273K.
The buys came at 65–66¢ while No trades around 66%, so the apparent thesis is that Arsenal is less likely to win than current odds suggest.

$17,618 on No

Sharp serial bettor buys Arsenal No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is buying No at 64% on Arsenal to win.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $603,368 lifetime.
The 61-bet track record shows a 37-point edge over average entry odds, making the No position notable even at 64%.
The trade is a fresh $1,221 position in a liquid market, rather than routine position management.

$8,089 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp serial bettor buys Arsenal No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is buying No at 64% on Arsenal to win.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $603,368 lifetime.
The 61-bet track record shows a 37-point edge over average entry odds, making the No position notable even at 64%.
The trade is a fresh $1,221 position in a liquid market, rather than routine position management.

$1,221 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial trader buys No

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $2.9K bet on No, representing nearly 90% of the market's 24-hour volume.

This trader is up nearly $6.0M across 19,480 resolved bets with a 66% win rate.
The $2,931 No position accounts for about 90% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
The trade entered at 64¢, implying the trader values No at roughly 64% or higher.

$2,931 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69484286, $1,133,722
0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 69484286, $153,018 (97% win rate)
0x0c78...77f1 — Outcome 69484286, $100,638 (79% win rate)
0x8372...5223 — Outcome 69484286, $61,343 (81% win rate)
0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 69484286, $37,355 (91% win rate)
0xd202...1ef5 — Outcome 69484286, $33,333 (64% win rate)
0x9828...0f7e — Outcome 69484286, $31,350 (54% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 69484286, $30,000 (51% win rate)
0x60c1...0438 — Outcome 69484286, $30,000 (80% win rate)
0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 69484286, $29,619 (66% win rate)

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Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?

ResolvedArsenal FC vs. Manchester City$39,761 tracked6 signalsFA Community ShieldSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

68¢

34¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction