Part of: SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $793,131.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL

Notable Trades

Serial trader buys No into volume surge

A highly experienced serial trader bought No amid an extraordinary 1,570x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite limited evidence of personal edge.

  • This wallet has traded 3,783 markets with $6.9M in reported profit and 49,083 wins.
  • The market saw a 1,570x spike versus its historical volume baseline across just eight trades.
  • The $5,242 No position opposes a 7% recent rise in Arsenal’s Yes price, making it a notable contrarian bet.

$1,277 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Four-wallet No cluster with proven trader

Four wallets added $59,278 to No, including a serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate, while volume spiked 27.3x.

  • Four wallets put $59,278 behind No, with each already holding a substantial No position and adding to it.
  • The strongest participant has won 70% of 69,780 resolved bets and earned $6.8 million lifetime.
  • Trading volume ran 27.3 times its historical average, and the group bought No around 40–41¢ before it moved to 42¢.

$59,278 on No

95% winner adds to Arsenal Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge added $248,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 36 of 38 resolved trades, earning $2.48 million while entering at average odds of 54%.
  • The wallet added $248,000 to an existing Yes position, bringing its investment in the outcome to roughly $648,000.
  • Trading volume was over 2,000 times its historical average, while Arsenal Yes has recently risen 7% over a week.

$248,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettors scaling into Arsenal Yes

A large nine-wallet Yes cluster is reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-term win rates, despite the market being relatively liquid.

  • Nine wallets committed nearly $92,900 to Yes, with several adding to substantial existing positions.
  • The group includes bettors with 84% wins over 170 markets and 100% wins over 119 markets.
  • Yes is priced around 56–58%, leaving meaningful upside if the coordinated conviction is correct.

$46,850 on Yes

New whale scaling into Yes

A one-day-old repeat bettor with a large existing Yes position is adding $112,784 amid a 98.8x volume spike and rising odds.

  • A one-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, with $833,230 flagged across six alerts.
  • The bettor is adding $112,784 to an existing $812,368 Yes position as Arsenal’s odds rise 7% in one day.
  • Trading volume is running 98.8 times above its historical average, making this a notable momentum signal despite limited track record.

$112,784 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale scaling into Arsenal Yes

A newly created repeat wallet added nearly $300,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position, driving an extreme volume spike and modest upward price movement despite limited verified track record.

  • A wallet less than 24 hours old bought $297,151 of Yes, including a $240,185 block at 60¢.
  • This is the wallet’s fourth large-bet alert, and it already held $610,144 of Arsenal Yes before adding more.
  • The trades represented 97.6% of 24-hour volume, while Yes rose 7% over the past day amid a 1,570x volume spike.

$297,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial trader buys No into volume surge

A highly experienced serial trader bought No amid an extraordinary 1,570x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite limited evidence of personal edge.

  • This wallet has traded 3,783 markets with $6.9M in reported profit and 49,083 wins.
  • The market saw a 1,570x spike versus its historical volume baseline across just eight trades.
  • The $5,242 No position opposes a 7% recent rise in Arsenal’s Yes price, making it a notable contrarian bet.

$5,242 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

88% win-rate bettor scales into Yes

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and 269 resolved trades is adding $6,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position at 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of trades across 269 resolved positions and is up $408,154.
  • They are adding $6,000 to an existing $10,000 Arsenal Yes position at 60¢.
  • The market has already risen 4% in one day, supporting the bettor’s direction.

$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

98% winner scaling into Arsenal Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position at 59%.

  • This bettor has won 86 of 88 resolved trades and is up $134,714.
  • The wallet has traded 106 different events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • The $5,000 add increases an existing Yes position, while Arsenal has recently risen 7% over the week.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

65-0 serial sharp backs Arsenal

A highly proven serial trader with a 65-0 record and substantial edge made a fresh $6,048 purchase of Arsenal Yes.

  • This bettor has won all 65 resolved positions, with $454,433 in reported profit.
  • The fresh $6,048 Yes purchase comes from a trader active across 101 events and 111 markets.
  • At a 56¢ entry, the position implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Arsenal already trading above 50%.

$6,048 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8372...5223 Outcome 62809011, $100,142 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x62ca...1760 Outcome 62809011, $93,685 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x2759...2b38 Outcome 62809011, $54,482 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x516c...3d58 Outcome 62809011, $53,936 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x8c40...80df Outcome 62809011, $42,700 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x39d3...9ef0 Outcome 62809011, $34,834 (41% win rate)
  7. 0xd1d3...c2e4 Outcome 62809011, $32,512 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x6d11...c449 Outcome 62809011, $27,939 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x1350...0841 Outcome 62809011, $17,930 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xc061...be49 Outcome 62809011, $16,279 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

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Paraguay fails to win

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

ResolvedSSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC$793,131 tracked11 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUCL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 9, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
62¢
57¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$1,277 on No at 38¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$59,278 on No at 41¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$248,000 on Yes at 62¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$46,850 on Yes at 58¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$112,784 on Yes at 63¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$297,151 on Yes at 60¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$5,242 on No at 38¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$6,000 on Yes at 60¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

2d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 59¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

3d ago

$6,048 on Yes at 56¢

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?

3d ago

$5,500 on Yes at 55¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?