Part of: SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $793,131.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL
Notable Trades
Serial trader buys No into volume surge
A highly experienced serial trader bought No amid an extraordinary 1,570x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite limited evidence of personal edge.
- This wallet has traded 3,783 markets with $6.9M in reported profit and 49,083 wins.
- The market saw a 1,570x spike versus its historical volume baseline across just eight trades.
- The $5,242 No position opposes a 7% recent rise in Arsenal’s Yes price, making it a notable contrarian bet.
$1,277 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Four-wallet No cluster with proven trader
Four wallets added $59,278 to No, including a serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate, while volume spiked 27.3x.
- Four wallets put $59,278 behind No, with each already holding a substantial No position and adding to it.
- The strongest participant has won 70% of 69,780 resolved bets and earned $6.8 million lifetime.
- Trading volume ran 27.3 times its historical average, and the group bought No around 40–41¢ before it moved to 42¢.
$59,278 on No
95% winner adds to Arsenal Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge added $248,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 36 of 38 resolved trades, earning $2.48 million while entering at average odds of 54%.
- The wallet added $248,000 to an existing Yes position, bringing its investment in the outcome to roughly $648,000.
- Trading volume was over 2,000 times its historical average, while Arsenal Yes has recently risen 7% over a week.
$248,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettors scaling into Arsenal Yes
A large nine-wallet Yes cluster is reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-term win rates, despite the market being relatively liquid.
- Nine wallets committed nearly $92,900 to Yes, with several adding to substantial existing positions.
- The group includes bettors with 84% wins over 170 markets and 100% wins over 119 markets.
- Yes is priced around 56–58%, leaving meaningful upside if the coordinated conviction is correct.
$46,850 on Yes
New whale scaling into Yes
A one-day-old repeat bettor with a large existing Yes position is adding $112,784 amid a 98.8x volume spike and rising odds.
- A one-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, with $833,230 flagged across six alerts.
- The bettor is adding $112,784 to an existing $812,368 Yes position as Arsenal’s odds rise 7% in one day.
- Trading volume is running 98.8 times above its historical average, making this a notable momentum signal despite limited track record.
$112,784 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale scaling into Arsenal Yes
A newly created repeat wallet added nearly $300,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position, driving an extreme volume spike and modest upward price movement despite limited verified track record.
- A wallet less than 24 hours old bought $297,151 of Yes, including a $240,185 block at 60¢.
- This is the wallet’s fourth large-bet alert, and it already held $610,144 of Arsenal Yes before adding more.
- The trades represented 97.6% of 24-hour volume, while Yes rose 7% over the past day amid a 1,570x volume spike.
$297,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial trader buys No into volume surge
A highly experienced serial trader bought No amid an extraordinary 1,570x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite limited evidence of personal edge.
- This wallet has traded 3,783 markets with $6.9M in reported profit and 49,083 wins.
- The market saw a 1,570x spike versus its historical volume baseline across just eight trades.
- The $5,242 No position opposes a 7% recent rise in Arsenal’s Yes price, making it a notable contrarian bet.
$5,242 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
88% win-rate bettor scales into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and 269 resolved trades is adding $6,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of trades across 269 resolved positions and is up $408,154.
- They are adding $6,000 to an existing $10,000 Arsenal Yes position at 60¢.
- The market has already risen 4% in one day, supporting the bettor’s direction.
$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
98% winner scaling into Arsenal Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Arsenal Yes position at 59%.
- This bettor has won 86 of 88 resolved trades and is up $134,714.
- The wallet has traded 106 different events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The $5,000 add increases an existing Yes position, while Arsenal has recently risen 7% over the week.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
65-0 serial sharp backs Arsenal
A highly proven serial trader with a 65-0 record and substantial edge made a fresh $6,048 purchase of Arsenal Yes.
- This bettor has won all 65 resolved positions, with $454,433 in reported profit.
- The fresh $6,048 Yes purchase comes from a trader active across 101 events and 111 markets.
- At a 56¢ entry, the position implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Arsenal already trading above 50%.
$6,048 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x8372...5223 — Outcome 62809011, $100,142 (83% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 62809011, $93,685 (95% win rate)
- 0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 62809011, $54,482 (65% win rate)
- 0x516c...3d58 — Outcome 62809011, $53,936 (100% win rate)
- 0x8c40...80df — Outcome 62809011, $42,700 (100% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 62809011, $34,834 (41% win rate)
- 0xd1d3...c2e4 — Outcome 62809011, $32,512 (91% win rate)
- 0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 62809011, $27,939 (65% win rate)
- 0x1350...0841 — Outcome 62809011, $17,930 (95% win rate)
- 0xc061...be49 — Outcome 62809011, $16,279 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
