Part of: UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,907.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, Champions League, UCL
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet buys NO
New profitable repeat wallet bought Arsenal No during a major volume spike, with linked-wallet context adding corroboration despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $8.4K and has been flagged 22 times for large repeat bets.
- The trade backs Arsenal missing the final at 29¢, against a market pricing Arsenal Yes near 72%.
- Volume on this market spiked 63x above normal, suggesting fresh attention around this side.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new whale buys NO
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is taking a concentrated $20k contrarian NO position, with linked-wallet corroboration.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $8.4k and has triggered 19 large-bet alerts.
- They put $20k on No at 29¢, taking the other side of a market pricing Arsenal at 72%.
- Two wallets share the same funder, adding some corroboration behind the position.
$20,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet activity and early profits is taking a $5k contrarian NO position against a liquid Arsenal favorite, with linked-wallet corroboration.
- This 5-day-old bettor is already up $8.4k and has been flagged 18 times for large bets.
- They are buying No at 27¢ while the market has Arsenal favored at 72%.
- A linked wallet shares the same funder, adding corroboration to the bearish Arsenal position.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A very new but already profitable repeat large bettor is taking a contrarian No position against Arsenal reaching the final, with linked-wallet context adding support.
- This 5-day-old bettor is already up $8.4k across 4 resolved wins.
- The wallet has triggered 17 large-bet alerts totaling $46k, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- They are buying No at 27¢ while Arsenal is priced as a 74% favorite, a clear contrarian fade.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
94% winner backs Yes
A highly proven wallet with a 94% win rate and nearly $944k in profit bought Arsenal Yes at 73¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $944k lifetime.
- They bought Arsenal Yes at 73¢ as the market has risen 10 points this week.
- Entry at 73¢ implies they still see value despite Arsenal already trading as a strong favorite.
$1,492 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,980 | Wallet win rate: 71%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$6,435 | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xcf98...6e0a — Outcome 10378238, $125,289 (86% win rate)
- 0xf892...7f58 — Outcome 10378238, $9,870 (43% win rate)
- 0x44c4...09cb — Outcome 10378238, $7,052 (41% win rate)
- 0x517f...b401 — Outcome 10378238, $5,000
- 0x478f...f5d9 — Outcome 10378238, $2,703 (65% win rate)
- 0xd184...a94c — Outcome 10378238, $1,422
- 0xd961...35de — Outcome 10378238, $1,313 (67% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 10378238, $1,182 (84% win rate)
- 0xb42c...f70d — Outcome 10378238, $1,071 (32% win rate)
- 0xc58b...2b96 — Outcome 10378238, $1,000
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