Part of: Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,025.
Categories: Sports, FA Cup, EPL, UCL, EFL Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $913k lifetime P&L is buying Arsenal Yes at 89%, though the trade size is modest and upside is limited.
- This bettor is up $913k lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved markets.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.0M flagged across 107 markets and 79 events.
- Entry at 89¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited upside but a clear directional view.
$2,617 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
94% winner backs YES
A highly profitable 94% historical winner is effectively adding a Yes position on Arsenal winning a trophy, though the trade size is modest and the signal is only from track record.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $213k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Yes around 90¢ by selling No shares.
- The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 26 percentage points over the past week.
$1,530 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner buys NO
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet made a $5k contrarian NO bet that exceeded the market's daily volume.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $212k lifetime.
- The $5k NO buy was bigger than the market’s entire recent daily volume.
- Buying NO at 28¢ is a contrarian bet against Arsenal’s 73% trophy odds.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Yes in a relatively thin Arsenal trophy market, with the bet making up a large share of recent activity.
- This bettor has won 64% of 1,774 resolved bets and is up about $103K lifetime.
- Their $1.5K buy was nearly half of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin book.
- Entry at 65¢ implies they see Arsenal’s trophy odds as underpriced despite a wide spread.
$1,547 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports trader
Surface this because a highly active cross-market bettor with a large realized profit and 701 resolved bets is making a fresh $1.7k Arsenal Yes buy, even though the single trade is modest and signals are mixed.
- This bettor has 701 resolved bets, a 60% win rate, and about $568k in profit.
- They trade across many related markets with size: 51 events, 71 markets, and $2.5M tracked volume.
- They bought Arsenal at 62¢, suggesting they still see value near the current 61–63¢ market.
$1,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
91% win-rate soccer bettor
A bettor with a rare 91% win rate and strong edge is opening a fresh Yes position near market price on a major soccer futures market.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $7,000 on $19,451 invested
- They bought Yes at 56¢, right around the current ask, suggesting a straightforward conviction entry rather than a chase
- The market is active but not overly crowded, so a proven bettor taking a fresh position here is worth tracking
$1,630 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xaff3...6ecc — Outcome 40629070, $58,895 (56% win rate)
- 0x3f45...180b — Outcome 40629070, $31,243 (66% win rate)
- 0x95b8...b472 — Outcome 40629070, $22,534 (75% win rate)
- 0xd10f...bfb8 — Outcome 40629070, $17,507
- 0xa8ca...d535 — Outcome 40629070, $10,954 (94% win rate)
- 0x9dfc...07b0 — Outcome 40629070, $8,234 (67% win rate)
- 0xfe4d...912b — Outcome 40629070, $8,116
- 0xb6a1...96de — Outcome 40629070, $8,056 (100% win rate)
- 0xf5ee...e69c — Outcome 40629070, $6,899
- 0x837c...5771 — Outcome 40629070, $6,059 (94% win rate)
Related Theses
Chimaev defeats Strickland
Covers 1 related market
