Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

This Polymarket asks whether Arsenal will win at least one major trophy in the 2025-26 season: the Premier League, Champions League, FA Cup, or Carabao Cup. It resolves to Yes if Arsenal is officially crowned champions of any one of those competitions, and to No if they fail to win all four or are eliminated from all remaining paths. The market is set to resolve by May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal is officially crowned the winner of at least one of the following competitions: the 2025–26 English Premier League, UEFA Champions League, Carabao Cup or FA Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for Arsenal to win any of the four listed competitions (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from winning, or eliminated from, all four competitions), the market will immediately resolve to "No". If one or more of the listed competitions is canceled or is otherwise not completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the results of the listed competitions that have been completed at that time. If Arsenal has not won any listed competition by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the organizers of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,630.

Categories: Sports, FA Cup, EPL, UCL, EFL Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

91% win-rate soccer bettor

A bettor with a rare 91% win rate and strong edge is opening a fresh Yes position near market price on a major soccer futures market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $7,000 on $19,451 invested
  • They bought Yes at 56¢, right around the current ask, suggesting a straightforward conviction entry rather than a chase
  • The market is active but not overly crowded, so a proven bettor taking a fresh position here is worth tracking

$1,630 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfea3...d227 — Yes, $59,923 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x3a8a...7699 — No, $50,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x95b8...b472 — No, $22,534
  4. 0xd604...cb5f — Yes, $17,100 (63% win rate)
  5. 0xb619...5068 — Yes, $5,278 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x5b63...11a4 — No, $5,088 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x4205...128e — Yes, $5,000
  8. 0xd184...a94c — No, $4,051
  9. 0xdbb6...9dec — No, $4,000
  10. 0x1027...8f1e — Yes, $3,500

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

39d$1,630 tracked1 signalSportsFA CupEPLUCLEFL CupSoccer
Yes
56¢
No
44¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal is officially crowned the winner of at least one of the following competitions: the 2025–26 English Premier League, UEFA Champions League, Carabao Cup or FA Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for Arsenal to win any of the four listed competitions (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from winning, or eliminated from, all four competitions), the market will immediately resolve to "No". If one or more of the listed competitions is canceled or is otherwise not completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the results of the listed competitions that have been completed at that time. If Arsenal has not won any listed competition by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the organizers of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
73¢
63¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

2h ago

$1,630 on Yes at 56¢

56¢→56¢