Part of: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,441.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors scaling into Yes
Three wallets bought $11.8K of Yes, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, while the market surged from roughly 50-60% to 82%.
- A 90% winner with $985K in lifetime profit made the largest purchases, including a $5.6K buy at 56¢.
- An 83% winner with $108K profit also bought Yes, while a third wallet added to an existing position.
- The market moved sharply to 82% after entries around 49-64¢, suggesting substantial realized conviction, though new entries should be price-disciplined.
$12,949 on Yes
Sharp serial trader exits Yes
A highly profitable serial trader sold Yes for a substantial gain while three wallets accumulated No amid a 125.8x volume spike, creating a compelling contrarian signal despite the prior-position profit-taking context.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,532 resolved trades and earned $1.77M in profit, with a strong historical edge.
- Three wallets bought No for $4,289 during a 125.8x volume spike, while this trader exited Yes after buying at 32¢ and selling at 54¢.
- The Yes sale converts to a No buy at 46¢; the position is now priced much lower at roughly 18%, though the original trade was partly profit-taking.
$1,328 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor joins coordinated No flow
A highly profitable sharp bettor sold Yes at 58¢ amid a major volume spike and coordinated No buying, creating a notable contrarian No signal despite some profit-taking context.
- This bettor wins 91% of 68 resolved trades and is up $27,718 overall.
- The wallet sold Yes at 58¢, equivalent to buying No around 42¢, while three wallets placed $4,289 in one-sided No bets.
- Trading surged to 125.8 times the historical average as Yes rose sharply, making the opposing No positioning worth monitoring; the prior Yes position suggests some profit-taking may be involved.
$1,169 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
90% win-rate serial trader
A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial edge bought Monaco Yes at 53% in a liquid, sharply moving market.
- This bettor has won 196 of 218 resolved trades, with nearly $1.0M in reported profit.
- The wallet has traded across 77 events and 121 markets, indicating a sustained and broad track record rather than a one-off bet.
- Monaco Yes was bought at 53% after the price had risen roughly 38% over one day, reinforcing the directional conviction.
$1,996 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xec07...aaa4 — Outcome 42148924, $4,119
- 0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 42148924, $3,249 (85% win rate)
- 0x191f...4a8d — Outcome 42148924, $3,143 (71% win rate)
- 0x47e4...0287 — Outcome 42148924, $2,519 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 42148924, $2,145
- 0xd991...c161 — Outcome 42148924, $2,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x7757...cf9e — Outcome 42148924, $1,170
- 0x2fa9...a486 — Outcome 42148924, $1,124 (79% win rate)
- 0x882c...5d07 — Outcome 42148924, $1,078
- 0x9ccf...ef8a — Outcome 42148924, $1,000
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