Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $733,308.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
95% winner backs NO
Surface: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is buying Aston Villa NO ahead of a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93 of 98 resolved bets and is up $198K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 63 events with a 95% hit rate.
- They bought No at 58¢ while market volume is running 17x above normal.
$2,465 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Perfect-record bettor joins Yes cluster
A small one-sided Aston Villa Yes cluster is worth surfacing mainly because the largest buyer has a perfect 12-0 resolved record and entered near 43¢ close to resolution.
- The largest buyer is 12-for-12 on resolved bets and up $22,955 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $6,513 total at 43¢.
- Entry at 43¢ implies a ~2.3x payout if Aston Villa wins.
$6,513 on Yes
Sharp wallets hammer late NO
Massive late one-sided No flow from multiple highly profitable sports wallets, including 95-98% lifetime winners, moved the market sharply just before resolution.
- Five wallets bought $713k of No in the final minutes before resolution.
- Two standout bettors win 98% and 95% of resolved bets, with a combined $6M+ in profit.
- No jumped from 58¢ to 82¢ after this flow, making this strongest only on a pullback.
$713,537 on No
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% record and $2.6M lifetime profit is buying No on a liquid Aston Villa match market, though the bet size is modest.
- This bettor has won 67% of 11,346 resolved bets and is up $2.57M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 297 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 54¢ on No implies they see Aston Villa failing to win as slightly underpriced.
$2,137 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is taking a $2k No position, though the signal is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up $902k across 2,850 resolved bets.
- They have traded 1,904 markets across 1,393 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying No at 55¢ implies they see Aston Villa winning as overpriced.
$2,004 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a long track record bought Aston Villa Yes at 45¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 67% of 11,346 resolved bets and is up $2.57M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 291 events with $1.68M in flagged activity.
- Entry at 45¢ implies they see Aston Villa as underpriced versus current odds.
$1,653 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
New whale up $449k
A repeat new-wallet whale with large prior flagged volume and strong early profits bought $5k of Aston Villa Yes at 46¢.
- This new wallet is already up $449k and has won 5 of its 6 resolved bets.
- It has triggered 71 large-bet alerts totaling $2.36M, suggesting repeat high-conviction sizing.
- It bought $5k of Yes at 46¢ two days before the match, implying Aston Villa is mispriced below even odds.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 99688219, $480,169 (53% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 99688219, $205,281 (64% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 99688219, $125,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x9158...fa7b — Outcome 99688219, $90,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 99688219, $90,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 99688219, $56,684 (63% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 99688219, $18,888 (74% win rate)
- 0xd71e...79a1 — Outcome 99688219, $12,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x60c5...f835 — Outcome 99688219, $10,938
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 99688219, $10,870 (97% win rate)
Related Theses
Aston Villa beats Liverpool
Covers 3 related markets
