Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $153,116.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Experienced cross-market bettor
Surfaced because a highly experienced cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought Yes amid a sharp short-term price move and volume spike, though the position is now far underwater versus current odds.
- This bettor has traded 841 markets across 773 events and is up about $92.7K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 59¢ during a fast 30-point upward move and a 21x volume spike.
- Current odds are 26¢, far below their entry, so this is a risky follow unless the price move reverses.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Serial sports trader buys Yes
Serial cross-market sports trader with a very large sample and 74% historical win rate is effectively buying Aston Villa Yes despite recent market drift and a notable volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 2,370 resolved bets with a 74% win rate across 109 events.
- They are effectively buying Aston Villa Yes at 38¢ by selling No, against current Yes odds near 26–27¢.
- The market saw a 21x volume spike, suggesting fresh attention around this match.
$3,475 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettors fading Villa
Three wallets are aligned on No, including two extremely high-win-rate bettors, while the market has a major volume spike and sharp recent price move.
- Two bettors in this cluster have near-perfect records: one is 34-for-34 and up $254k, another wins 97% of resolved bets.
- Three wallets put $20.4k on the same No side, mostly by selling Yes around 58¢.
- Volume is 19x normal and the market moved sharply, suggesting this is an active repricing rather than a random bet.
$20,380 on No
97% winner fading spike
A highly successful bettor is taking profit after a big Aston Villa Yes move, effectively signaling No at 42¢, though this is less strong than a fresh position.
- This bettor has won 97% of resolved bets and is up $1,685 on $5,834 invested.
- They sold Yes after entering around 35¢, effectively taking the other side at 42¢ after a sharp 30-point price spike.
- The trade is profit-taking rather than a brand-new position, so the signal is worth watching but less forceful.
$1,788 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Undefeated serial sharp
Elite undefeated cross-market bettor bought No despite strong market momentum toward Yes, making this a high-value copy-trade signal.
- This bettor has won 34 of 34 resolved trades and is up $254,831 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events with a perfect recorded win rate.
- Buying No at 42¢ fades a 24-point daily move toward Yes, suggesting they see the rally as overdone.
$2,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Elite bettor caught 31¢ move
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate bought Aston Villa Yes at 31¢ just before a sharp move to 57¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $785K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 31¢ before the market jumped to 57% within minutes.
- The market has heavy 24h volume, so this was a meaningful move in a liquid book.
$1,630 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
Serial trader joins No cluster
A high-volume serial sports trader joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into No during a major pre-event volume spike, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded 108 events and wins 74% of resolved bets across 2,370 outcomes.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting $13K behind No in the same window.
- Market volume spiked 25.8x, and this entry at 67¢ is already trading around 70¢.
$2,061 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial event trader
Very profitable serial cross-market sports trader is adding a Yes position as part of a broader 3-market event thesis.
- This bettor has won 65% of 13,759 resolved bets and is up about $3.16M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with activity across 355 events and over $2.19M in similar event-linked bets.
- This is part of a broader 3-market position worth $22.6K, suggesting a structured view on the match rather than a one-off bet.
$2,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with positive lifetime P&L is adding to a consistent event thesis across three Aston Villa-related markets.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 5,642 resolved bets and $220K in lifetime profit.
- They are active across 515 events and are now betting the same event across 3 markets for $16.7K total.
- Entry at 35¢ suggests they see Aston Villa's win odds as underpriced versus the current market.
$2,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable wallets chasing steam
Four profitable wallets pushed Aston Villa Yes with $18.6k of one-sided flow during a major volume spike and a 30+ point price move.
- Four wallets put $18.6k on the same side, backing Aston Villa to win.
- The market surged from around 28¢ to 64¢ during the run, with volume at 16x its usual pace.
- All four wallets have positive lifetime profit, including one up $333k across a large betting history.
$18,591 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 37132589, $184,994 (77% win rate)
- 0xb295...4ee4 — Outcome 37132589, $15,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x433f...a0dc — Outcome 37132589, $13,711 (66% win rate)
- 0x4c0a...a9be — Outcome 37132589, $13,200 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 37132589, $9,810
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 37132589, $6,515 (63% win rate)
- 0x41b4...de82 — Outcome 37132589, $4,816 (65% win rate)
- 0xd178...6703 — Outcome 37132589, $4,552 (87% win rate)
- 0x005c...a987 — Outcome 37132589, $4,151
- 0xc4b2...9a9b — Outcome 37132589, $2,427 (83% win rate)
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