Part of: Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,435.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with 5,217 resolved bets and $1.8M profit is buying Athletic Club at 47¢, making this a modest but followable sharp-bettor signal despite only one alert type.
- This bettor has 5,217 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $1.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets: 176 events, 318 markets, and over $1.0M tracked in this pattern
- Bought Athletic Club at 47¢, a fairly liquid price before the market moved to 48¢
$1,242 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
98% win-rate sharp bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 98% win rate and strong edge is buying Athletic Club Yes at 47¢, making this a clear follow-worthy sharp signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 59 of 60 resolved markets and is up $55k on $113k invested
- They trade across 72 markets in 65 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Yes at 47¢, which implies they see Athletic Club as meaningfully better than a coin flip
$1,966 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 5-day-old wallet has already made 19 large flagged bets totaling $227k and just put another $5.9k into Athletic Club Yes, suggesting aggressive early conviction despite limited history.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already made 19 large flagged bets totaling $227k
- It is already 2 for 2 on resolved markets and up about $4.0k
- This is a fresh $5.9k buy at 44¢ on Athletic Club in a liquid market
$5,899 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
New whale piling into Yes
A 4-day-old wallet has already fired 19 large alerts and just put $22.6k into Athletic Club at 44¢ during an extreme volume spike, suggesting aggressive repeat conviction worth tracking.
- A 4-day-old wallet has already made 19 large flagged bets totaling $227.6k, and this one adds $22.6k more at 44¢.
- The wallet is 2 for 2 on resolved bets and up about $4.0k so far, an early sign this is not random first-time activity.
- These buys hit during a 12,411x volume spike, showing aggressive fresh money entering the market at the same time.
$22,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly fired large bets across markets and just put $16.7k into Athletic Club at 44¢, suggesting strong conviction despite limited resolved history.
- A 5-day-old wallet just put $16.7k on one side at 44¢ after 18 prior large-bet alerts totaling $221.7k
- This is fresh conviction, not profit-taking, and the bettor already has 2 winning resolved markets with nearly $4.0k profit
- Entry at 44¢ implies they see Athletic Club as meaningfully undervalued versus a near-even market
$16,714 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 43390577, $51,430 (91% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 43390577, $14,388 (55% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 43390577, $5,668 (64% win rate)
- 0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 43390577, $4,534 (98% win rate)
- 0x83d9...651b — Outcome 43390577, $4,257 (58% win rate)
- 0x791e...9bda — Outcome 43390577, $4,183 (98% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 43390577, $4,027 (64% win rate)
- 0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 43390577, $3,463
- 0xea87...1ad7 — Outcome 43390577, $1,943 (77% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 53201703, $1,387
Related Theses
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Covers 3 related markets
