Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-29?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,146.

Notable Trades

Profitable whale leads coordinated Austin FC bet

Three wallets committed $20.6K to Austin FC Yes amid a 400x volume spike, led by a highly profitable whale, though the position has since fallen sharply from roughly 70% to 25%.

Three wallets bought $20,647 of Yes together during a volume spike 400 times the historical average.
The largest buyer has made $45.5M in lifetime profit across 49,000 resolved bets, making this notable despite only a moderate win-rate edge.
The market has since fallen from 69–75% to 25%, so this is better studied as a potentially wrong or early position than copied blindly.

$19,146 on Yes

88% winner adds to No

A highly profitable, 88% win-rate sports bettor is adding $10,000 to an existing No position despite the market pricing No at 80%.

This bettor has won 137 of 155 resolved positions, with a reported $146,159 lifetime profit.
They added $10,000 to No at 81¢, reinforcing an existing position in a relatively quiet market.
The wallet has traded across 199 events and 205 markets, suggesting broad, repeatable sports-market experience.

$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0x9e16...a795 — Outcome 46629614, $12,415 (90% win rate)
0xa8a1...2974 — Outcome 46629614, $4,190 (40% win rate)
0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 46629614, $4,018 (61% win rate)
0xfc87...dd68 — Outcome 46629614, $2,500 (43% win rate)
0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 46629614, $631 (89% win rate)
0xcb01...7dfb — Outcome 46629614, $480
0x125a...4f02 — Outcome 46629614, $366
0xf762...d55f — Outcome 46629614, $300 (94% win rate)
0x7091...96f8 — Outcome 46629614, $300 (48% win rate)
0xfcc7...4d38 — Outcome 46629614, $252 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Independiente-Tolima stays under 3.5

Covers 1 related market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-29?

ResolvedPortland Timbers vs. Austin FC$29,146 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

84¢

81¢

78¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction