Part of: Argentina vs. Austria
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $361,885.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring 8-wallet cluster is buying Austria Yes at 11–12¢, led by several profitable bettors including one with a 93% record and +$181k P&L.
- A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades put $11k on Yes and is up $181k lifetime.
- 8 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $33.4k on an 11–12¢ underdog.
- Several wallets have strong records, including one up $2.47M lifetime and another with an 89% win record.
$33,423 on Yes
51-0 cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with a 51-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Austria No at 90¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 51 resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with a perfect resolved record.
- They bought No at 90¢, signaling confidence Austria does not win in regular time.
$4,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner buying longshot
Strong sharp-bettor signal: a 91% winner and serial cross-market trader bought $10.3k of Austria Yes at 11¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and has played 43 markets across 28 events.
- They put $10.3k on Austria at 11¢, a low-probability price with large upside if their edge is real.
- Market volume is running 28x above its historical pace, supporting the idea that sharp money is arriving.
$10,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Fresh $25K favorite bettor
Brand-new wallet placed $25K on Austria not winning during a major pre-game volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite no wallet track record.
- A brand-new wallet committed $25K to Austria not winning within 40 minutes of creation.
- The market saw a 47x pre-game volume spike, while Austria’s win odds have drifted down over the past day.
- Entry around 89¢ makes this a lower-upside, high-confidence position on the heavy favorite side.
$25,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
80% serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $9.3k of No into a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 80% of 905 resolved trades and is up $27.9k lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, active across 410 events with $2.7M traded.
- Market volume is surging 46.9x above normal, and this wallet is backing the 90¢ No side.
$9,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable cross-market sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Austria Yes ahead of kickoff amid a major event-wide volume spike.
- This bettor is up $2.47M lifetime across 1,576 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.54M placed across 87 events.
- This event saw a 74x volume spike, and the wallet has $127K positioned across 3 related markets.
$1,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
New wallet hammering No
A 23-hour-old wallet is making a concentrated $35k bet on No alongside a large pre-event volume spike, suggesting high-conviction positioning despite limited track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $35k on No in three trades, paying 89–90¢ just before the match window.
- This wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling about $38k in under a day.
- Market volume is surging at 74x its historical pace, reinforcing that money is piling into this side.
$35,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Event-wide whale backing No
High composite from a 74x pre-event volume spike plus a wallet with $538k positioned across three related event markets, despite no proven profitability edge.
- This bettor has placed $538k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broad event-level thesis.
- Market activity is 74x above normal ahead of the game, while Austria’s win odds have fallen 3 points today.
- This $13.3k buy backs No at 89¢, aligning with the market’s current strong lean against Austria winning.
$13,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
83% winner backs No
Sharp wallet with an 83% tracked win rate and positive P&L bought Austria No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of tracked bets and is up $6.4k on $25.3k invested.
- They bought $2.35k of No at 89¢, backing the already heavily favored side.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 74x above its historical average.
$2,352 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Large cross-market No bettor
Large cross-market position against Austria is notable because it combines an $89k No buy with a 50x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term record is not strong.
- This wallet put $89k on Austria not winning, as part of $113k across 3 related markets.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running about 51x above its historical average before the game.
- The bettor is not a proven long-term winner, but the size and cross-market positioning make the trade worth watching.
$89,294 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0xa38a...821d — Outcome 89153404, $1,000,178 (56% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 57582970, $554,232
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 89153404, $456,481 (64% win rate)
- 0x5712...09a9 — Outcome 89153404, $181,806 (100% win rate)
- 0x2e69...858d — Outcome 89153404, $100,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 89153404, $93,738 (97% win rate)
- 0xdc40...89cf — Outcome 89153404, $43,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x0ec9...8001 — Outcome 89153404, $41,667 (33% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 89153404, $41,379 (88% win rate)
- 0xf56d...c3d9 — Outcome 89153404, $23,789 (80% win rate)
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