Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?
This prediction market asks whether AZ will win on 2026-04-16, with Polymarket-style odds reflecting the market’s current view of that outcome. PolySpotter is tracking $5,045 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent 3-wallet bearish cluster, which may suggest some traders are leaning against AZ winning. The market resolves based on whether AZ is officially declared the winner for the event on April 16, 2026.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,045.
Notable Trades
3-wallet bearish cluster
Three wallets sold Yes in the same market as price spiked, creating a coordinated bearish signal with one trader showing a solid long-term record and the others including a repeat new-wallet bettor.
- Three wallets all bet against Yes for about $5.0k total, a coordinated one-way move worth tracking.
- One of the wallets has 283 resolved bets, wins 61% of the time, and is up $55k lifetime.
- They sold after a 47-point jump in Yes, implying a contrarian view that No was overpriced.
$5,045 on No
Top Holders
- 0xab54...2029 — Outcome 24295280, $21,822
- 0x7fea...8f74 — Outcome 24295280, $14,474 (52% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 24295280, $3,271
- 0x210c...d6c1 — Outcome 24295280, $1,993
- 0x1c83...6f40 — Outcome 24295280, $1,531 (27% win rate)
- 0xf142...57e7 — Outcome 24295280, $1,470
- 0xecd5...755e — Outcome 24295280, $1,435 (100% win rate)
- 0x116c...e162 — Outcome 75968588, $1,419 (68% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 24295280, $1,374 (66% win rate)
- 0x72d7...1b97 — Outcome 24295280, $1,286 (31% win rate)