Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,977.

Categories: Sports, bundesliga, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

A high-volume cross-market sports bettor with a strong 69% hit rate is buying into a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor has won 434 of 633 resolved trades and is up about $179k overall.
They trade across many related events and have a 69% win rate over 58 flagged cross-market setups.
This buy came during a 203x pre-match volume spike, with entry around 64¢ on a market trading near 62-63¢.

$989 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

92% winner late-game cluster

A proven 92% win-rate sports trader joined two other wallets to buy No on Leverkusen seconds before resolution during an extreme pre-event volume spike, a strong late-game signal worth surfacing.

A bettor who wins 92% of tracked markets and is up $133k bought No at 29-30¢ right before resolution.
Three wallets put $7.6k on the same side in the final seconds as market volume surged nearly 470x above normal.
Buying No at 29-30¢ means they were pricing Leverkusen closer to a loss or draw than the market implied.

$7,563 on No

92% win-rate contrarian

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate bought No at 30¢, a clear contrarian position against a 70% market favorite.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $133k on $287k invested.
They trade across 149 markets and 148 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
They bought No at 30¢ while the market prices Yes at 70%, implying they see the underdog as materially undervalued.

$1,426 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0x50b1...f076 — Outcome 13468546, $729,208 (56% win rate)
0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 13468546, $9,440 (76% win rate)
0xdb63...7fb5 — Outcome 13468546, $7,494 (100% win rate)
0x97f9...0aeb — Outcome 13468546, $4,348 (76% win rate)
0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 13468546, $4,020
0xa4e1...e25a — Outcome 13468546, $3,101
0xd178...6703 — Outcome 13468546, $3,000 (85% win rate)
0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 13468546, $2,972 (98% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 13468546, $2,857 (67% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 13468546, $1,955

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?

Resolved$9,977 tracked3 signalsSportsbundesligaGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.