Part of: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,648.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet bearish exit

A highly profitable 77% winner and two other wallets sold $23.6k of Yes into a 33-point collapse, creating a strong bearish signal despite much of it being prior-position exits.

  • The strongest wallet wins 77% of nearly 1,000 resolved bets and is up $1.19M lifetime.
  • Three wallets sold $23.6k of Yes, matching a sharp move from around 65¢ to 30¢.
  • This looks partly like exiting prior Yes positions, but the size and timing point to a strong bearish shift.

$23,647 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor placed a $38k pre-match Buy Yes amid a massive pre-event volume spike and recent odds momentum.

  • This bettor has 603 resolved trades, wins 63%, and is up $132k lifetime.
  • They put $38k on Yes at 76¢ shortly before the match window, a large stake versus $12.9k listed liquidity.
  • Market volume is spiking 578x above normal, and Yes is up 15 points over the past week.

$38,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Million-profit serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $1.33M lifetime profit bought Leverkusen Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 2,671 resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • Market volume spiked 203x versus normal before kickoff, adding momentum behind the Yes side.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

87% sharp buying Yes

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate is buying Leverkusen Yes into a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They bought $3.2K of Yes at 75¢ shortly before the scheduled match window.
  • Market volume is surging, with activity over 200x its historical average.

$3,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

87% winner buying Yes

Elite profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.3M lifetime profit bought Leverkusen Yes amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 635 events with nearly $5.9M in prior volume.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running about 75x its historical average before the match.

$1,494 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% win-rate bettor

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 93% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Leverkusen Yes at 75¢.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets and is up $2,895 lifetime.
  • They are buying Yes at 75¢, adding a proven track-record signal despite a fairly liquid market.
  • Their average winning entry has been around 72¢, close to this 75¢ price.

$1,473 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Elite soccer sharp buying Yes

Surface because a highly proven soccer bettor with an 87% record and $2.3M lifetime profit is adding to a coordinated Yes buy cluster at 75¢.

  • A bettor with 1,156 resolved positions wins 87% of the time and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.5K total, all entering around 75¢.
  • The strongest wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $5.9M in tracked volume and an 87% win record.

$7,491 on Yes

87% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% long-term win rate bought $3.8k of Leverkusen Yes at 75¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 634 events with the same 87% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
  • Entry at 75¢ means they are backing Leverkusen despite the market being liquid and near fair-value scrutiny.

$3,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

83% winner backing favorite

Sharp-wallet override: the bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making this Leverkusen Yes buy worth surfacing despite a low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $6.4K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.6K of Yes at 78¢, adding conviction on a market already up 21 points this week.
  • Their past wins came at 59¢ average odds, suggesting a real track record beyond just backing heavy favorites.

$1,574 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 40011128, $18,300 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 40011128, $12,586 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 40011128, $5,264 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x4ec8...762a Outcome 40011128, $5,000 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x325f...4511 Outcome 40011128, $2,938 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x9079...b19b Outcome 40011128, $2,653
  7. 0x8105...3287 Outcome 40011128, $2,018 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x38f1...9ff1 Outcome 40011128, $2,000 (79% win rate)
  9. 0xa6ee...54ce Outcome 40011128, $1,000
  10. 0x2003...af6f Outcome 40011128, $1,000 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV$82,648 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

46d ago

$23,647 on No at 37¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

46d ago

$38,000 on Yes at 76¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

46d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 76¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

46d ago

$3,151 on Yes at 75¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

47d ago

$1,494 on Yes at 75¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

47d ago

$1,473 on Yes at 75¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

47d ago

$7,491 on Yes at 75¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

47d ago

$3,818 on Yes at 75¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?

47d ago

$1,574 on Yes at 78¢

Related Theses