Part of: SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,336.
Categories: Soccer, bundesliga, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Elite sharps clustered on Yes
Five wallets placed $66,180 on Yes, including two exceptionally profitable sharp bettors, creating a major coordinated position despite the subsequent price collapse from 62% to 20%.
- Two leading bettors have extraordinary records: 99% wins with $17.9M profit and 95% wins with $8.1M profit.
- Five wallets collectively bought $66,180 of Yes during a 422x volume spike.
- Yes has since fallen from roughly 62¢ to 20¢, making this a high-conviction but currently adverse-position signal.
$59,192 on Yes
98% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge is newly buying Leverkusen Yes at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 394 of 404 resolved trades, with $329,809 in lifetime profit.
- Their 55% average entry price versus a 98% win rate indicates an exceptional historical edge.
- The fresh $2,500 Yes position at 61¢ is a clear directional bet, not routine position management.
$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position at 61¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $13,676 overall.
- Their results substantially outperform their average entry odds of 53%, indicating a meaningful historical edge.
- They are adding $1,203 to an existing Yes position at 61¢, despite the market already implying a 60% chance.
$1,203 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Serial bettor with proven edge
A highly experienced serial trader with 7,279 resolved bets and a meaningful historical edge is buying No at 39¢.
- This bettor has won 65% of 7,279 resolved trades and is up $5.6 million.
- The wallet has traded across 840 events and is taking a fresh $1,440 position on No at 39¢.
- The entry is near the market’s 40% implied No probability, so the appeal comes mainly from the trader’s track record rather than a clear price dislocation.
$1,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 10041884, $80,992 (93% win rate)
- 0x77fe...a351 — Outcome 10041884, $27,131 (51% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 10041884, $7,500 (99% win rate)
- 0x32be...6da7 — Outcome 10041884, $6,415 (83% win rate)
- 0x3761...203c — Outcome 10041884, $4,147 (82% win rate)
- 0x7879...3653 — Outcome 10041884, $4,098 (97% win rate)
- 0xb619...5068 — Outcome 10041884, $4,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x2224...8c7e — Outcome 10041884, $2,459 (100% win rate)
- 0xde24...ed26 — Outcome 10041884, $1,981 (84% win rate)
- 0xa34e...29f8 — Outcome 10041884, $1,449
Related Theses
SMU wins a low-scoring game
Covers 4 related markets
