Part of: Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $887,411.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, German Super Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable whale cluster backs Bayern

A highly profitable bettor and coordinated wallets added nearly $587,000 to Bayern Yes at 62–63%, alongside an extreme volume spike.

  • A bettor with an 85% win rate across 497 resolved positions and $6.4 million in profit is adding to Bayern Yes.
  • Five wallets concentrated nearly $587,000 on Yes, with the largest bettor committing about $514,000.
  • Trading volume surged 3,662× above its historical average while Bayern Yes rose 4% over the day.

$587,329 on Yes

Sharp serial trader buys Bayern Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,657 Yes bet amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 497 resolved positions and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • The $2,657 purchase at 60¢ was made during a reported 7,229x historical volume spike.
  • The trader has placed positions across 887 markets and 806 events, indicating an unusually active, proven strategy.

$67,882 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

New whale scaling into Bayern Yes

A brand-new wallet has committed over $213,000 to Bayern Munich while adding to an existing $318,000 Yes position, driving an extreme volume spike despite having no proven track record.

  • A wallet less than an hour old has committed $213,000 in fresh Yes buys and now has roughly $531,000 invested.
  • The two purchases coincided with a 52,675x surge over historical trading activity, signaling unusually strong conviction.
  • There is no resolved-position history, so the size is notable but the bettor's edge remains unproven.

$213,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp serial trader buys Bayern Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,657 Yes bet amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 497 resolved positions and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • The $2,657 purchase at 60¢ was made during a reported 7,229x historical volume spike.
  • The trader has placed positions across 887 markets and 806 events, indicating an unusually active, proven strategy.

$2,657 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Proven bettor adds to Bayern Yes

A proven 79% winner with substantial lifetime profit is adding to an existing Bayern Yes position at 60¢ amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 121 resolved trades and is up $125,590 lifetime.
  • The $5,563 purchase adds to an existing Yes position, signaling continued conviction at 60¢.
  • Trading volume spiked more than 7,000 times above its historical average, while the market moved slightly higher.

$5,563 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Whale adds to Bayern No

A bettor with a modestly profitable record added $10,980 to an existing No position during an extreme volume spike, making this a notable conviction trade despite limited corroboration.

  • The wallet added $10,980 to an existing No position at 40¢, bringing its total stake on No to roughly $38,430.
  • The trade represented 459% of detected 24-hour volume and occurred during a 7,229× spike versus the historical average.
  • The bettor is up $434,443 across 486 resolved bets, though its 52% win rate indicates only a modest proven edge.

$10,980 on No | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1cbf...107a Outcome 44839968, $325,391
  2. 0xc96e...f1f9 Outcome 44839968, $122,415 (76% win rate)
  3. 0xe72b...b0a0 Outcome 44839968, $111,421 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x9b97...5e12 Outcome 44839968, $71,832 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x12ec...41ae Outcome 44839968, $71,485 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 44839968, $67,189
  7. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 44839968, $65,826 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xc0fd...a0a9 Outcome 44839968, $42,968 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x62ca...1760 Outcome 44839968, $35,000 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xadea...b96d Outcome 44839968, $33,800 (30% win rate)

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Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

ResolvedBorussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich$887,411 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerGerman Super Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 22, 2026 If Bayern Munich wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
95¢
69¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$587,329 on Yes at 62¢

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$67,882 on Yes at 60¢

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$213,000 on Yes at 68¢

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$2,657 on Yes at 60¢

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$5,563 on Yes at 60¢

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?

1d ago

$10,980 on No at 40¢

Related Theses