Part of: Belgium vs. IR Iran

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $192,994.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

90% winner near settlement

Sharp 90% winner bought the draw at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, with strong cross-market history and confirmed price impact.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.5k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with the same 90% hit rate.
  • Bought Yes at 90¢ before the draw moved to 100¢, so copying only makes sense below 95¢.

$2,796 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp draw bettor amid 28-wallet surge

Strong sharp-wallet and coordinated-flow alert: a 90% winner bought Yes at 61¢ amid a 28-wallet same-direction surge and major price move.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets, going 18-for-20 at average entry odds near 52%.
  • 28 wallets bought the same Yes outcome, totaling about $235K in one-sided flow.
  • The market has moved sharply toward Yes, with the trader entering at 61¢ before the price reached 90¢.

$21,350 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

New wallet chasing draw move

A fresh wallet put $9k on the draw shortly before kickoff, alongside a 44x pre-event volume spike and a move from 12¢ to 20¢.

  • A new wallet put $9k on the draw in two buys shortly before kickoff.
  • The first buy was at 12¢ and the market is now 20¢, suggesting the trade helped catch a sharp move.
  • Market volume is running 44x above its historical pace, pointing to unusual pre-game interest.

$9,000 on Yes

22-wallet linked sharp cluster

A large linked 22-wallet cluster and several proven high-win-rate wallets are aggressively buying Yes, with volume and price both surging into resolution.

  • 22 wallets, including linked accounts, bought about $160k of Yes in the same window.
  • Several buyers have strong records, including bettors winning 90%+ of resolved trades with meaningful profit.
  • Yes jumped about 33 points on a 34x volume spike, showing the market is moving with the flow.

$159,847 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 12763597, $278,118
  2. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 12763597, $166,758 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 12763597, $74,536
  4. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 12763597, $29,398 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xec8f...8df8 Outcome 12763597, $16,987 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 12763597, $5,694 (61% win rate)
  7. 0xb014...a357 Outcome 12763597, $4,677 (68% win rate)
  8. 0x91d7...0dfc Outcome 12763597, $3,452 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x551c...fe91 Outcome 12763597, $3,256 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x1065...6218 Outcome 12763597, $2,971 (92% win rate)

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England wins a high-scoring rout

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Belgium fails to win

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Japan wins low-scoring match

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Iraq covers low-scoring match

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Spain wins low-scoring match

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Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

ResolvedBelgium vs. IR Iran$192,994 tracked4 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupGamesSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
61¢
19¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

10d ago

$2,796 on Yes at 90¢

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

10d ago

$21,350 on Yes at 61¢

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

10d ago

$9,000 on Yes at 15¢

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

10d ago

$159,847 on Yes at 54¢

Related Theses