Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,679.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins draw cluster

Surface because a profitable 80% lifetime sports/cross-market trader joined a $19k six-wallet contrarian push on the draw, despite the market moving sharply against the position.

A bettor who wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $102k joined this Yes position by selling No at an equivalent 13¢ entry.
Six wallets put $19k on the draw, creating a concentrated one-sided move in a high-volume soccer market.
This is a high-risk contrarian spot: the cluster’s average entry was about 12¢, but Yes has since fallen to 4¢.

$19,038 on Yes

85% cross-market bettor

High-scoring alert from an 85% winner with a long cross-market history, supported by a major pre-event volume spike into the draw side.

This bettor has won 85% of 52 resolved bets, beating their average entry odds by 18 points.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events and $253k in similar positioning.
Market activity is surging, with volume running 61.8x above its historical average before kickoff.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $12.6k of No during a 62x pre-event volume spike, though the edge is moderate given the liquid market.

This bettor has 342 resolved markets, a 60% hit rate, and $57k lifetime profit.
They put $12.6k on No as pre-game volume jumped 62x above its historical average.
This is a very active cross-market trader, with $1.5M wagered across 292 events.

$12,641 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 86101389, $9,073,021
0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 86101389, $71,203 (54% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 86101389, $44,761
0x99c4...18e7 — Outcome 86101389, $42,596 (51% win rate)
0x6185...2965 — Outcome 86101389, $42,507 (97% win rate)
0x37e0...024e — Outcome 86101389, $34,187 (71% win rate)
0x7d9d...3c52 — Outcome 86101389, $33,500
0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 86101389, $29,017 (54% win rate)
0x8ab9...d821 — Outcome 86101389, $28,106 (94% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 86101389, $25,736 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany advances, low scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

England DR Congo stays low-scoring

Covers 2 related markets

Mexico Ecuador level at halftime

Covers 1 related market

United States leads at halftime

Covers 1 related market

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

ResolvedBelgium vs. Senegal$34,679 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 1, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

74¢

71¢

68¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction