This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $793k lifetime. They have traded across 25 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge. A $61k buy at 35¢ is a concentrated position on Belgium winning in regulation.

Part of: United States vs. Belgium

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $312,143.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying No

Six wallets bought $43k of No within seconds, backed by a huge volume spike and two highly profitable bettors with 88% and 93% historical win rates.

Two standout bettors in this cluster win 88% and 93% of resolved trades and are up about $1.4M combined.
Six wallets bought the same side within seconds, totaling $43k at 63¢.
Market volume is spiking 173x above normal, suggesting a coordinated move ahead of the match.

$43,045 on No

91% sports sharp buying NO

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $106k profit is buying Belgium No at 63¢, reinforced by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
They have traded across 52 events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying No at 63¢ means they are fading Belgium despite the market already pricing Belgium as the underdog.

$1,816 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp soccer whale

Sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $61k of Belgium Yes at 35¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $793k lifetime.
They have traded across 25 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
A $61k buy at 35¢ is a concentrated position on Belgium winning in regulation.

$61,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Belgium No at 65¢.

This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved bets and is up about $940K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 75 events and over $3.1M traded.
Buying No at 65¢ suggests they see Belgium as meaningfully less likely to win than the market implies.

$26,583 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable whale leads cluster

A profitable whale led a $111k three-wallet one-sided BUY on Belgium, alongside a massive pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.

The lead bettor put about $84k on Belgium and is up $2.6M lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $111k total, creating a strong one-way flow.
Market volume spiked over 1,200x its historical average, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning.

$110,765 on Yes

Profitable whale on Belgium

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet put $67k on Belgium Yes, driving a massive pre-event volume spike on a previously quiet market.

This bettor is up about $2.6M lifetime across more than 5,700 resolved trades.
They placed a $67k BUY on Belgium at 35¢, far larger than the market’s prior daily activity.
Volume spiked over 22,000x versus the historical average, suggesting sudden conviction before the match.

$67,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Belgium No at 65¢.

This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved bets and is up about $940K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 75 events and over $3.1M traded.
Buying No at 65¢ suggests they see Belgium as meaningfully less likely to win than the market implies.

$1,594 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 25741165, $599,998 (99% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 25741165, $496,163
0x0f1c...82c6 — Outcome 25741165, $211,505 (92% win rate)
0x9ee8...89de — Outcome 25741165, $190,195 (73% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 25741165, $131,254 (80% win rate)
0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 25741165, $75,000 (51% win rate)
0x28c2...bfe3 — Outcome 25741165, $61,813 (27% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 25741165, $61,689 (57% win rate)
0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 25741165, $61,249 (55% win rate)
0xec44...c92b — Outcome 25741165, $57,511 (76% win rate)

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Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Belgium$312,143 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 6, 2026 If Belgium wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.