Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,043.

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

A wallet with a 95% win rate made a large $4k bet on No in a relatively quiet Bitcoin dip market, extending a cross-market thesis despite only modest overall market movement.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with 36 wins in 38 bets
  • They put $4,043 into No at 82¢, a trade larger than 25x this market's recent tracked volume
  • They are betting the same Bitcoin event across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt

$4,043 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc50...4c82 No, $30,690 (27% win rate)
  2. 0xd6e8...a959 Yes, $25,932
  3. 0x3c67...44a8 Yes, $20,218
  4. 0x825a...8835 Yes, $15,473
  5. 0x7f3c...5613 No, $15,000
  6. 0x9e6d...1015 Yes, $10,598
  7. 0x30e4...5102 Yes, $9,155
  8. 0x9231...2212 No, $8,798
  9. 0x42fa...1fc7 No, $7,134
  10. 0xd0f1...6712 No, $6,964

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

274d$4,043 tracked1 signalBitcoinYearlyHit PriceCrypto PricesCrypto
Yes
19¢
No
82¢

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

2h ago

$4,043 on No at 82¢

82¢82¢

Related Theses

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | PolySpotter