Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Bitcoin prediction market asks whether BTC will dip to $50,000 or lower by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle records a final low of $50,000 or less; otherwise, it resolves No on January 1, 2027. The market currently has $1,613 in tracked smart-money activity and one recorded signal.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $291,291.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$1,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$1,477 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$4,379 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$1,374 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable crypto thesis bettor
Profitable cross-market crypto bettor is expressing a broad Bitcoin-downside thesis across 7 related markets with $50.7k total exposure.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $65.5k lifetime.
- They have built a $50.7k position across 7 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader downside thesis.
- Selling No at 44¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 56¢, betting Bitcoin touches $50k by the end of 2026.
$42,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable crypto thesis bettor
Profitable cross-market crypto bettor is expressing a broad Bitcoin-downside thesis across 7 related markets with $50.7k total exposure.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $65.5k lifetime.
- They have built a $50.7k position across 7 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader downside thesis.
- Selling No at 44¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 56¢, betting Bitcoin touches $50k by the end of 2026.
$33,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable crypto thesis bettor
Profitable cross-market crypto bettor is expressing a broad Bitcoin-downside thesis across 7 related markets with $50.7k total exposure.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $65.5k lifetime.
- They have built a $50.7k position across 7 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader downside thesis.
- Selling No at 44¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 56¢, betting Bitcoin touches $50k by the end of 2026.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$1,644 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$1,376 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
Sharp crypto wallet with a 105-0 resolved record is expressing a cross-market Yes thesis on a BTC $50k dip by selling No.
- This bettor has won 105 of 105 resolved trades and is up $49k lifetime.
- They have put about $74.9k across 6 related BTC dip markets, showing a broader directional thesis.
- Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, with the market already moving toward Yes this week.
$2,110 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x5371...76eb — No, $180,505 (94% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — No, $131,898 (41% win rate)
- 0x4f31...efa3 — No, $93,995 (97% win rate)
- 0xcbc5...e175 — No, $93,778 (70% win rate)
- 0x861f...177d — Yes, $88,487 (44% win rate)
- 0xb392...fc73 — Yes, $70,000
- 0x8b4b...541b — No, $61,187 (84% win rate)
- 0xa19c...de6b — No, $51,976 (59% win rate)
- 0x3d1c...e45c — No, $51,431 (100% win rate)
- 0xf12d...0272 — Yes, $47,981
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