Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,600.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Sharp crypto thesis trader
A proven profitable trader with a 72% win rate sold No at 85¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, signaling a cross-market crypto thesis at a cheap price.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $303k lifetime across 633 bets
- The trade was SELL No at 85¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 15¢ for a low-priced upside shot
- This wallet has traded 446 markets across 333 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off punt
$2,240 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new whale buys No
A repeat new wallet with unusually large profitable bets added $24k to the favored No side after this market’s Yes odds had already fallen sharply, suggesting confident conviction rather than routine flow.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 10 times, has 5 open positions, and is up about $31.7k early on
- They put $24k into No around 84-87¢, a concentrated bet that this month never prints a $60k Bitcoin wick
- The market’s Yes price is down 31.5 points over the week, so this trade aligns with strong recent momentum rather than a random large order
$24,054 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable new crypto whale
A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early profit is backing No at 84¢ in a liquid BTC market after the Yes side has already dropped sharply this week.
- This new wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts, with $114k flagged and about $31.7k in profit so far
- They bought No at 84¢ after the Yes side fell 31 points in a week, suggesting they still see the dip-to-$60k chance as overpriced
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like deliberate conviction than a random punt
$1,661 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
71% win-rate crypto bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong long-term track record is taking a fresh bullish position on a BTC downside market by effectively buying Yes at 20¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 618 resolved markets and is up about $279k overall
- The trade sells No at 80¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 20¢ on a liquid BTC market
- This wallet has traded 427 markets across 315 events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
$2,873 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
92% win-rate crypto bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 92% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on No at 60¢ in a liquid Bitcoin market, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades, with 54 wins in 59 resolved markets
- They bought No at 60¢, implying they see the chance of a $60,000 BTC dip in April as lower than the market does
- The market is active and fairly liquid, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random punt
$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
71% win-rate crypto bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate and $271k profit is buying No at 57¢ in a liquid BTC threshold market, making this a credible thesis worth tracking despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 429 of 604 resolved trades and is up $271k overall
- They trade heavily across crypto-related events — 406 markets across 296 events and $1.23M in volume
- They bought No at 57¢, implying they see Bitcoin staying above $60k in April more often than the market does
$1,381 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
71% win-rate cross-market sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate and $271k profit is buying No at 56¢, making this a credible sharp thesis despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 429 of 604 resolved bets and is up $271k overall
- They have traded 405 markets across 295 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- They bought No at 56¢ in a liquid BTC market, implying they see the dip-to-$60k chance as lower than the current 44% Yes price
$2,169 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xebaa...abac — Outcome 20601138, $66,529
- 0xf7a1...9dce — Outcome 20601138, $32,060 (55% win rate)
- 0x9b6b...9a8a — Outcome 20601138, $24,358
- 0xd78f...9cff — Outcome 20601138, $20,646
- 0xf10a...a922 — Outcome 20601138, $18,980 (0% win rate)
- 0xc9d7...d309 — Outcome 20601138, $17,723 (50% win rate)
- 0xa3d3...d424 — Outcome 20601138, $15,155 (49% win rate)
- 0x8493...e006 — Outcome 20601138, $14,298
- 0xf499...b5d9 — Outcome 20601138, $13,036 (86% win rate)
- 0xb50c...215b — Outcome 20601138, $11,960 (75% win rate)
