Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $124,249.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market BTC trader
A highly active, profitable cross-market trader with 1,290 resolved bets is buying a low-priced Bitcoin dip contract as part of a broad event thesis across 7 related markets.
- This bettor has 1,290 resolved trades, wins 59% of them, and is up $341k lifetime.
- They have bet $646k across 7 related Bitcoin markets in this event, suggesting a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- Bought Yes at 7¢ while the market sits at 8¢, a cheap tail-risk position after the contract fell 12 points over the past week.
$1,610 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable cross-market BTC bettor
Surface this because a high-volume, profitable crypto-event specialist is making a fresh cross-market bet across seven related Bitcoin dip markets, and this leg was bought at just 8¢.
- This bettor has 1,215 resolved trades, wins 59% of them, and is up about $325k overall.
- They have put $629k across 7 related Bitcoin dip markets in this event, which shows a broad event-level thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- This leg was bought at 8¢, so they are paying a small price for a sharp downside tail scenario after the market already moved lower over the past week.
$1,789 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Event-wide crypto specialist
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying a cheap tail-risk outcome across this BTC dip event, suggesting a deliberate event-wide thesis despite this specific ticket being small.
- This wallet has made over 1,100 resolved bets and is up $327k overall
- They have traded 7 markets in this same Bitcoin dip event for $310k total, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off punt
- Buying Yes at 10¢ means they only need this dip to happen more than 1 in 10 times to have value
$2,068 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable BTC threshold bettor
A proven profitable wallet with a 77% win rate bought Yes at 15¢ on a liquid BTC threshold market, making this a modest but followable sharp bet.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $310k across nearly 400 resolved bets
- They bought Yes at 15¢, a cheap entry that pays if Bitcoin touches $65,000 just once this month
- They are also betting across 2 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt
$4,694 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
78% winner flips bullish Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 78% win rate is making a fresh bearish Bitcoin event bet by effectively buying Yes at 10¢ after previously closing an older No position.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,083 resolved bets and is up $342,695 lifetime
- They trade across related markets at scale: 53 events, 99 markets, and $2.27M tracked volume
- Selling No at 90¢ is the same as buying Yes at 10¢, a cheap entry after this market already moved down hard
$3,716 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cross-market trader
A highly profitable 78% win-rate trader is making a fresh cross-market bet by selling No at 88¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 12¢, after this market has fallen sharply over the week.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,084 resolved trades and is up $342.7k lifetime
- They sold No at 88¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 12¢ for a cheap high-upside entry
- This is part of a 53-event, 99-market pattern from a serial cross-market trader with over $2.26M deployed
$5,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
94% win-rate BTC bettor
A very high-win-rate wallet is extending a cross-market Bitcoin thesis by buying No at 89¢ in a liquid market, making this worth watching despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades with 144 wins and $58.5k profit
- They are betting across 2 related Bitcoin markets, which suggests a broader event view rather than a one-off click
- Buying No at 89¢ means they see the dip-to-$65k chance as even lower than the market implies
$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
New profitable crypto whale
A 6-day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 8-for-8 record just made a fresh $44k buy on the No side in a high-volume BTC market.
- This 6-day-old wallet is already 8 for 8 on resolved bets and up $21k.
- They just put $44.4k into No, adding to nearly $97k in flagged bets across 10 recent signals.
- They bought around 81¢ while No trades at 80¢, showing strong conviction even after the market moved their way.
$44,391 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
27-0 sharp BTC bettor
A bettor with a perfect 27-for-27 resolved record bought No at 80¢ during a volume surge in a liquid BTC market, making this a modest but credible sharp follow signal.
- This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved trades and is up about $4.5k overall.
- They bought No at 80¢ in a BTC market that just saw volume jump 15.8x above normal.
- At 80¢, they are backing the view that Bitcoin stays above $65k through April.
$4,928 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
72% win-rate crypto bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate is expressing a broader BTC-down thesis by selling No, which converts to buying Yes around 22¢ in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $319k across 646 bets
- They trade across related crypto markets often, with 350 events tracked and nearly $1.4M deployed
- Selling No at 78¢ is the same as buying Yes near 22¢, a low-cost entry on a broader Bitcoin dip thesis
$1,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xf7a1...9dce — Outcome 91891168, $507,418 (58% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 91891168, $134,302
- 0xddf0...119b — Outcome 23855113, $58,195 (100% win rate)
- 0xe29e...f2c6 — Outcome 91891168, $42,893
- 0x61ee...932c — Outcome 91891168, $25,198 (73% win rate)
- 0x716d...4206 — Outcome 91891168, $15,441 (70% win rate)
- 0x4658...4131 — Outcome 91891168, $14,731 (83% win rate)
- 0x7de1...e0de — Outcome 91891168, $14,077 (37% win rate)
- 0x1f55...e9a4 — Outcome 91891168, $11,708 (43% win rate)
- 0x465c...e94d — Outcome 91891168, $10,417
Related Theses
Bitcoin sees extreme May volatility
Covers 4 related markets
