Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,016.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
93% winner buying NO
A profitable 93% winner is buying No on a liquid Bitcoin dip market, though the trade size is modest and the signal rests mainly on track record.
- This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved trades and is up $37.5K lifetime.
- Their wins came at much tougher prices than usual, beating implied odds by about 24 points.
- Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing Bitcoin to avoid a $65K dip in May.
$1,186 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable BTC cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet with a large track record is making a $13k cross-market Bitcoin dip thesis, including $8.4k on No here at 90¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 495 resolved trades and is up $338k lifetime.
- They put $13.1k across two related Bitcoin dip markets, including $8.4k on No here.
- Entry at 90¢ is a high-confidence, lower-upside bet that Bitcoin avoids $65k through May.
$8,428 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume trader with a long serial cross-market pattern is adding a $3.3k No position, though the trade is on a liquid market and at favorite odds.
- This bettor is up $369k across 1,433 resolved markets.
- They have traded related markets across 36 events, with $509k in tracked cross-market positions.
- Buying No at 90¢ shows they are backing the market favorite with a high-confidence crypto thesis.
$3,338 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial BTC bettor
A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is buying No at 90¢ while spreading $18.7k across four related BTC markets.
- This bettor is up $274k lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved trades.
- They have traded 200 related event markets before and are now putting $18.7k across four BTC markets.
- Buying No at 90¢ shows confidence that Bitcoin stays above $65,000 in May.
$5,565 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
New linked crypto whale
A 4-day-old linked wallet is repeatedly taking large crypto tail-risk positions, effectively buying Yes at 11¢ on a liquid BTC dip market.
- This 4-day-old wallet has now made 3 flagged large bets totaling about $9,000.
- Two wallets share the same funder and have shown up in prior runs, suggesting one actor building a coordinated view.
- Selling No at 89¢ is effectively buying Yes at 11¢, a long-shot bet on Bitcoin touching $65,000 in May.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
92% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate is making a $4.5k bet on the 90¢ No side, though the edge appears modest because this wallet often plays favorites.
- This bettor has won 92% of 183 resolved bets and is up $45k lifetime.
- They have traded across 47 events and 75 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- The $4.5k entry at 90¢ is a favorite-side bet with about 11% upside if it resolves No.
$4,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
New linked whale buying NO
A 2-day-old wallet is making a concentrated $6k BUY No bet, with linked-wallet activity and repeat large-bet flags supporting a directional crypto thesis.
- A brand-new wallet put $6,000 on No, backing Bitcoin to avoid a drop to $65,000 in May.
- Two linked wallets share a funder and have shown repeat large-bet activity across runs.
- Entry around 87.5¢ suggests a lower-risk directional bet with the market already near 88¢.
$6,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
92% winner buying No
A highly experienced cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate placed a $9k BUY on No at 90¢, though the edge appears modest because they usually bet heavy favorites.
- This bettor has won 92% of 180 resolved bets and is up $44.8k lifetime.
- They have traded across 73 related markets, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- A $9k entry at 90¢ implies they are backing the high-probability view that Bitcoin stays above $65k in May.
$9,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x2424...3b61 — Outcome 27725940, $289,445
- 0xa4f1...2417 — Outcome 27725940, $132,954
- 0x30e4...5102 — Outcome 27725940, $101,787 (52% win rate)
- 0x7e32...31fd — Outcome 27725940, $23,659 (64% win rate)
- 0x1f55...e9a4 — Outcome 27725940, $23,325 (43% win rate)
- 0x1c5f...31d1 — Outcome 27725940, $21,050
- 0x4f62...2ce6 — Outcome 27725940, $20,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x1b6e...9f3a — Outcome 27725940, $19,059
- 0xd78f...9cff — Outcome 27725940, $18,546
- 0x67d9...ab69 — Outcome 27725940, $16,301
