Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 6?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,949.
Notable Trades
95% win-rate BTC trader
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate put $5.7k into No on a same-day BTC threshold market during a sharp volume spike, making this a notable signal despite the price already being rich.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved markets across 1,519 bets and has traded 293 events
- They bought No at 88¢ as volume jumped 31x and the market moved quickly in the same direction
- The price is already expensive, so this looks more like a high-confidence defense of the favorite than a cheap contrarian shot
$5,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% win-rate BTC bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate put $5.7k on No in a BTC threshold market, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades across 1,519 bets and has traded 374 markets in 293 events.
- They bought No at 89¢ in a $77k BTC market, a clear high-confidence view that Bitcoin stays above $68,000 today.
- The market had just moved about 11 points upward, so this trade aligns with strong momentum rather than a random whale entry.
$5,709 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate sold No, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 49¢, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of 1,519 resolved trades across 292 events, a rare hit rate worth tracking
- They sold No at 51¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 49¢ on a Bitcoin dip
- The trade is small versus market liquidity, so the edge here is the bettor's track record more than raw size
$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xa9e8...c443 — No, $19,908 (95% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $12,240 (59% win rate)
- 0xade6...88b8 — Yes, $10,062 (54% win rate)
- 0xcc50...4c82 — Yes, $6,061 (35% win rate)
- 0xbc1f...7631 — No, $3,495 (71% win rate)
- 0xeee9...7ecb — Yes, $2,656
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $2,303
- 0x4ee2...46e1 — Yes, $1,870 (66% win rate)
- 0x14e2...282f — Yes, $1,437 (80% win rate)
- 0x3520...f128 — Yes, $1,233
