Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will dip to $70,000 at any point in April, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle lows as the resolution source. It resolves to Yes if any final 1-minute candle low hits $70,000 or below before April 30 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves to No. Traders watching Bitcoin prediction market odds are using this market to gauge the probability of a sharp April BTC pullback.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,302.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
96% win-rate serial trader
A proven high-win-rate wallet with activity across 148 events bought No at 90¢ in a highly liquid BTC threshold market, making this a track-record-driven follow rather than a flow-driven signal.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 487 bets and has traded more than $4.1M across 148 events
- They bought No at 90¢ in a liquid Bitcoin market, so this looks like a disciplined high-probability entry rather than a random whale bet
- The market already prices Yes at just 10%, meaning this trader is leaning into a low-volatility path where they have consistently made money
$1,302 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $35,817 (59% win rate)
- 0xb8e6...1ea4 — Yes, $29,760 (25% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — No, $16,681 (60% win rate)
- 0x20e5...082a — No, $15,700 (73% win rate)
- 0x6916...2fd4 — Yes, $9,406 (56% win rate)
- 0x3822...b720 — Yes, $6,196
- 0x59bb...6d65 — Yes, $5,623
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $5,577
- 0x9531...9099 — Yes, $3,143
- 0x4af7...2381 — Yes, $3,007
