Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,295.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Weekly, Hit Price
Notable Trades
Profitable serial BTC trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a fresh Yes bet after prior exposure, with the market already moving sharply in their direction.
- This bettor is up about $395K lifetime across more than 1,800 resolved bets.
- They trade across many related markets, with $2.37M deployed over 140 events.
- Bought Yes at 68¢ before the market moved to 73¢, showing early momentum on the same side.
$1,662 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable crypto market flipper
Highly active profitable cross-market trader flipped from a prior Yes position into No on a BTC dip market after a sharp No price move.
- This bettor is up $397k across more than 1,800 resolved trades, with $35M in lifetime volume.
- They previously held Yes here but have closed it and bought $2.3k of No, signaling a clear change in view.
- No has moved sharply higher, and the entry at 82¢ implies they are backing Bitcoin to avoid the $78k dip.
$2,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable crypto market regular
Surfacing because this is a highly experienced cross-market trader with strong lifetime profits adding a fresh Yes position across related BTC dip markets despite only modest signal strength.
- This bettor is up about $370k across more than 1,700 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 136 events and over $2.3M tracked by this signal.
- They bought Yes at 67¢ after the market moved up 12 points in a day, aligning with current momentum.
$1,883 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
89% serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on the Bitcoin $78k dip market despite the recent price move.
- This bettor has won 89% of 454 resolved trades across 392 events.
- They have deployed about $1.7M across cross-market positions and are still profitable lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a BUY Yes at 79¢, while the market is now around 75¢.
$1,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xdd4a...f91c — Outcome 90000626, $3,950 (90% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 90000626, $2,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xbf30...8fbd — Outcome 90000626, $1,321
- 0x10ea...02ed — Outcome 90000626, $1,000
- 0x1f3b...453a — Outcome 90000626, $1,000
- 0x437c...3696 — Outcome 90000626, $1,000
- 0xe51a...eaf2 — Outcome 90000626, $1,000
- 0xc12a...dc73 — Outcome 90000626, $888 (69% win rate)
- 0x4ee2...46e1 — Outcome 90000626, $700 (68% win rate)
- 0x4b9b...7e7c — Outcome 90000626, $591 (79% win rate)
Related Theses
Spurs fade, contenders win
Covers 4 related markets
