What has to happen for the Bitcoin $150K by 2026 market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has a final High price of $150,000 or higher by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.

What price source is used to decide this Bitcoin prediction market?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT High prices, specifically the one-minute candle data shown on Binance for the BTC/USDT trading pair.

When does this Bitcoin $150K prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the deadline, with the listed resolution time at January 1, 2027, 04:00 UTC, corresponding to 11:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market condition runs through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.

What does recent smart money activity suggest?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,778,782 in smart money and 19 signals on this market. Recent alerts include multiple whale and repeat-wallet moves into No, which may indicate some large traders are skeptical Bitcoin reaches $150K by the deadline.

Where can I track Bitcoin $150K by 2026 Polymarket odds?

You can use this PolySpotter market page to follow live Polymarket odds, whale activity, and smart money signals for whether Bitcoin hits $150,000 by December 31, 2026.

Part of: When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. It resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a final high price at or above $150,000 before the deadline; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,778,782 in smart money activity across 19 signals, with recent whale alerts focused on No positions.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,778,782.

Categories: Bitcoin, Crypto, Crypto Prices

Notable Trades

Profitable serial whale buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a large No bet that dwarfs recent volume in a quiet BTC $150k market.

This bettor is up $967k across 763 resolved trades and has bet across 87 markets.
The $7.8k No buy is over 26x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet order book.
Entry at 89¢ suggests a lower-risk thesis that Bitcoin will not touch $150k by the end of 2026.

$7,801 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A repeat new-wallet bettor just put $16.2k into a very quiet BTC target market, accounting for over 55x the market’s 24h volume and coinciding with an extreme volume spike.

This wallet is a repeat large bettor, with 49 prior alerts totaling about $794k flagged activity
They bought $16.2k in a market that had only $291 of 24-hour volume, overwhelming normal flow
The trade hit at 90¢ on No, showing strong conviction that Bitcoin stays below $150k by year-end 2026

$16,200 on No

Repeat new whale on No

A repeat new wallet pushed over $210k into the No side of a very quiet long-dated BTC market, creating a massive volume spike that suggests strong conviction worth watching.

A new wallet has already triggered 39 large-bet alerts and pushed about $210k into No here.
This market had only $291 of 24-hour volume, so these trades were more than 55x the usual daily flow.
Buying No at 90¢ shows a strong view that Bitcoin stays below $150k through 2026.

$210,527 on No

New whale hammering No

A brand-new wallet repeatedly deployed about $162k into the No side of a very thin BTC price market, dominating daily volume and triggering an extreme volume spike.

A new wallet with no resolved history put about $162k into No through 10 trades in minutes.
This order flow was over 5500% of the market’s 24-hour volume, a strong conviction signal in a thin market.
The bettor kept buying No at 90¢, showing willingness to size up heavily at current prices rather than wait for a pullback.

$161,927 on No

Repeat new whale on No

A repeat new wallet deployed about $130k into a very quiet long-dated BTC market, creating a massive volume spike and showing concentrated conviction on No at 90¢.

A new wallet has already triggered 36 large-bet alerts and put about $130k into this market in 8 trades.
These orders hit a market with just $291 of prior 24-hour volume, so the size stands out as unusually strong conviction.
Buying No at 90¢ means they are leaning hard against Bitcoin touching $150k by the end of 2026.

$129,527 on No

New whale loading NO

A brand-new wallet just absorbed roughly $259k of No shares in an otherwise dormant BTC $150k market, creating a huge volume spike and signaling strong conviction on a long-dated crypto thesis.

A new wallet with no resolved history bought about $259k of No shares in 16 clips, showing concentrated conviction.
These trades were over 5,500% of the market's prior 24-hour volume in a market that had only $291 traded that day.
Buying No at 90¢ suggests they see Bitcoin reaching $150k by 2026 as far less likely than the market implies.

$259,200 on No

New whale hammering No

A brand-new wallet repeatedly spent $145.8k buying No in an extremely quiet Bitcoin target market, accounting for a massive share of recent volume and showing strong concentrated conviction.

A new wallet fired 9 straight buys for $145.8k total, all on No at 90¢
Those orders were 5,573% of the market's 24-hour volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market
The wallet has been flagged 25 times for large new-wallet bets, suggesting this is an active high-size bettor

$145,800 on No

New whale hammering No

A brand-new wallet repeatedly deployed $178k into a very thin BTC target market, accounting for a massive share of daily volume and signaling strong conviction on No at 90¢.

A brand-new wallet has already fired repeated large bets, putting $178k into this market in minutes.
These buys were over 5,500% of the market's 24-hour volume, so the size stands out versus how quiet this market usually is.
Buying No at 90¢ means they are pricing Bitcoin staying under $150k by year-end 2026 at about 90% odds.

$178,200 on No

New whale piling into No

A brand-new wallet repeatedly sold Yes into a very thin Bitcoin 2026 market, effectively building a large No position at 90¢ and overwhelming normal daily volume.

A new wallet with no resolved history put about $27k into this market in 15 trades
The trades were about 6x the market's entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market
Selling Yes at 10¢ is the same as buying No at 90¢, a concentrated bet that Bitcoin stays below $150k through 2026

$27,000 on No

New whale hammering NO

A brand-new wallet repeatedly deployed nearly $200k into a very thin BTC market, dominating daily volume and likely expressing strong conviction on a long-dated 'No' position.

A brand-new wallet has put $194k into this market with repeated $16.2k buys, showing unusually strong conviction.
These trades were over 55x the market's entire 24-hour volume, so one bettor effectively set the flow in a thin market.
Buying No at 90¢ means they only need Bitcoin to stay below $150k through 2026, a capped but high-confidence setup.

$194,400 on No